JB and Middleton are very close, but Jaylen is five years younger. Brown will keep refining his skills, while Middleton’s decline.
Yeah, I think if we offered Brown for Middleton straight up today Milwaukee would take that in a second. Brown would be an upgrade for them next season and only get better from there on. They are close they are both good players. But I see Brown as better.
everyone would trade Middleton for Brown because of their age, but Middleton functions much better as a #2 player because he is a much better distributor, 3 point shooter, and foul generator. Those skills are most critical for a side kick playing next to a ball dominant player. Middleton also doesn't function best in the same place on the floor as that ball dominant player like Brown does. Middleton is better than Brown right now and I expect that to continue next season. At some point Brown will be better though.
Middleton shoots a whole 1.2% better from three over the last two seasons on less attempts. 3.8% worse from 2PT range.
Brown generates more free throws per minute and per possession, but Middleton has a free throw rate advantage of 0.7%.
"Much better" is an extreme exaggeration. Bordering on a lie.
what does 2 point shooting have to do with what I said? Middleton is a better 3 point shooter, distributor, and as you acknowledge has a better FTr (and he is a much better FT shooter - which yields a better TS%). There is nothing that I said that was inaccurate. Those are all skills that are more critical to the roles they play i.e. off the ball with a ball dominant player.
Per 100 possessions, they have very similar stats, Brown shoots a bit more and has more total points, but Middleton scores slightly more points per shot (They make basically the same amount of 3's, Middleton makes more FT's, while Brown is much more prolific from 2). Brown is a better rebounder, Middleton a significantly better passer. Middleton gets slightly more steals and they are the same blocks per 100 possessions. Brown takes a bit better care of the ball and they both foul at the same rate.
Statistically they are very close, but I think Middleton is better because his skills are more critical to the role they actually play on the floor. If they were both #1 scorers, I'd prefer Brown, but neither of them are good enough to be #1 scorers and neither of them are that so that doesn't factor in for me. As a #2 next to a ball dominant player, I think Middleton is better, and that isn't some crazy notion.