In Bill Simmons' most recent podcast, he predicts a Lakers-Celtics Finals, with his "buddy House". He goes on and on about how objective he is, etc., and how he's watched all the games.
His conclusion? Lakers beat Celtics in six. Kobe is the alpha dog that the Celtics don't have. Celtics don't have anybody who can definitely score at the end of games, and Celtics can't win "tight games". KG can't get it done in crunch time. He's not "totally sold" that Paul Pierce, Ray Allen, and Sam Cassell can hit big shots (despite Ray Allen doing so all year long). Ray Allen is "not an all-star", is "not a great defender", and is "a spot-up shooter, and that's all he is" (he watches the games? Really?). The Celtics turnaround was only due to "one guy". Lakers have a "charmed season" and the "perfect storm", and the Celtics can't "match firepower" with "Ko-bay" (Ko-bay? Seriously? Living in La-La land has really eroded Simmons).
The only decent point Simmons made is about the 2-3-2 format of the Finals. If the road team wins one of the first two games, it makes it a lot harder to win the series. That's why the Celtics are going to crush the Lakers in the first two games of the series.
(And, before anybody says Simmons is just trying to avoid a "jinx", why did he 1) pick the Lakers in the first, second, and third round? Listen to the interview: Simmons is readily picking against the Celtics, and he's convinced of it.)
Hat tip to Perkisabeast and RealGM.