This is a good series for me in my opinion.
For me it's gonna be close but I'm going for an upset here.
The matchups for me pretty much cancels out each other except for 2. Randolph - Gibson and Gay - Deng.
Luol Deng will heckle Rudy the whole game and could probably shut him down.
Zach Randolph is a offensive expert but with a very athletic Taj Gibson against him it'll be tough. Taj is faster, can jump higher and is relentless. Randoplh could probably outpost Taj but I think Zach is gonna have a hard day making shots.
Gasol is of course way better than Duncan is right now. But i doubt that he'll have a lot of touches with Gay, Randolph and Parker having all the touches. But he can out rebound Tim since he's stronger and faster.
The reason I give the edge to NY is Deron. Deron not only can score but can help others score, compare to Parker who normally is not a pass first guy.
Both bench is pretty much spot on in the match ups so I give the slight edge to NY to pull the upset, in a long series of course.