With the Celtics now above the tax line and only a few million below the apron, a sign-and-trade is highly unlikely. There’s just not the flexibility without moving a large salary.
Most likely outcome would seem to be they use the 6 million taxpayer exception and call it a day, or close too it. Rumors that Dunn could be moved again as well.
One reasonable scenario I could think of for a S&T for Lonzo would be something based around Smart. If NOLA was able to land Lowry, I could see them being potentially interested in a S&T with Lonzo based around Smart and Romeo/G Williams for around $80M/4 years. That'd be a really interesting lineup for them in Lowry, Smart, Ingram, Zion, and Hayes. They probably compete for homecourt advantage in the playoffs and potentially take a series or two barring health concerns.
For us, it'd kill two birds with one stone - figure out the Smart situation and get our long-term PG that seemingly fits well with the Jays and is on their timeline. Though, the question is whether that move is better than just keeping the space for the possibility of a Beal, Kawhi, etc. next summer.
Sure, thats possible. Smart is at 13.8 next year. If you get Lonzo at 4/80 that would start at roughly like 18.5 a year so you're adding 5 million to your books which is right around what they currently have below the apron. If they then moved on from Dunn's money they could also still use the taxpayer MLE and stay below the hard cap (it would bne VERY tight).
I guess I just have a somewhat hard time seeing them tie up their longer-term flexibility that way. But it depends on how much you like Lonzo Ball i guess. I like him, I don't know if i 4/80 like him.
Definitely. Also depends upon what the thought is about who they have a legitimate chance to get next year. Beal seems like an obvious target, but while that class is loaded, I don't see too many other big names that would potentially move and come here. Leonard? Potentially. Curry? Doubt he leaves his legacy in GS. Lavine? Possibly, but is he really a good fit next to the Jays? I don't see KD, Kyrie, or Harden leaving, and I don't really want any of them here anyways.
Beal seems like the main target given his obvious connections to Tatum. But to be honest, while Beal is undoubtedly the better player over Lonzo, I'm skeptical of the fit of all three of Brown, Beal, and Tatum together. Don't think their styles fit that well together. I think someone like Lonzo would fit much better next to the Jays and play a "Jrue-type" third wheel role behind the main two in Tatum and Brown. It'd also not waste another year and be significantly cheaper to have Lonzo, leaving more money to fill out the rest of the roster.