Brown, Rozier, and a pick for Beal. A man can dream, right?
Hopefully it's just you and Washington fans dreaming that
idk... money aside this is a deal I would consider.
Yeah I gotta say I would consider this too if it wasn't the Sacto pick in the deal. I wouldn't want to deal Brown right now at this moment, his value couldn't be lower, but Beal is a weapon.
Other than D and driving, Beal's pretty much got JB beat, and he's still young with upside:
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Beal at age 20 put up 17-3.7-3.3 with 1 steal on 42-40-78% splits, on 51% TS% with 4 WS.
Beal at age 23 put up 23-3-3.5 on 48-40-82% splits, at 60% TS% with 8.5 WS (!); at 24 his counting stat averages for assists + rebounds rose to 4.5 each with maintained scoring.
JB was a rookie at 20; at 21, he put up 14.5-5-1.6 with 1 steal on 46-40-65% splits with 56% TS% + 4.5 WS. In the playoffs, 18-5-1.4 with .8 steals on 47-39-64% splits, 56% TS%.
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Progress-wise, Beal made the leap at age 23, and his seasons at 20 + 22 were pretty similar. That is, he was very ahead of the curve even for a top prospect as a teen / 20 year old, then he increased his scoring but kinda plateaued for 2 years. At 23 he went off, but he also had 3 seasons with 2.4+ Def WS by age 24 (for reference, JB killed it last year with 3.2).
So Beal is a deadly spot up shooter who can get you 20-25 a game with a usage rate in the mid 20s. For reference, in the playoffs last year JB got us 18 a game on 56% TS% with a 24.6 usage rate. Beal at 23 got 23 a game on 60% TS% with a 26.5% usage rate. He can man a corner and be deadly and space the floor, he can create with the ball, is a capable passer, a solid rebounder and a nice defender for a SG. He may just be a better fit than JB to be an All Star caliber 3rd Guy with 2 all stars already in place (Kyrie, and either Tatum or Hayward); he reminds me of a shorter, more kinetic Klay Thompson with worse D (to fit the GSW model).
The issue is JB can't get worse, so you might be overpaying for Beal. The other thing is that Beal didn't grow much from 20 to 22 but emerged at age 23, and Jaylen is still only 22. To do a deal and feel good, we'd have to believe that Jaylen won't make that type of leap. I wouldn't want to be the one to make the decision, but I'd entertain JB+Terry+LAC pick + filler for Beal once we see some improvement from JB and our starting 5 logs more minutes.
CONCLUSION: I think we don't know what we have yet with our guys, but I also think there's a good chance JB is never as good as Beal got by age 23, and may never be as good with a Big 2-3 in place as Beal would be now. So I think you have to consider this when your top asset isn't at rock bottom value, because I don't think Rozier has much trade value, and IMO losing 1 of the LAC pick or a Boston pick in a deal for an All Star is fine.