I sort of wonder if this team may have "peaked" in Game 7 of last series. They had to go 6 games against ATL, then grind it out in 7 against PHI in a series where they were also down 1-0 and 3-2 at different points. They obviously showed up late in Game 6, then blew doors in Game 7 with JT's 51.
But now this series, they just look off. Tatum hasn't been bad but he certainly hasn't been as effective in the 4th, and Jaylen/Smart/Horford have mostly been bad too.
Another example of this might be the Warriors last round. Remember when Curry put up 50 in Game 7 against SAC on the road in the first round. Impressive effort, but they may have "peaked" too. They were up 3-2, but surprisingly blew Game 6 at home which was telling (they usually never do that) and went to a Game 7. Then next round against LAL, Klay is mostly bad, Poole is useless, and Curry only had like 2 great games but the others were mostly meh. I didn't think LAL dominated them, GSW just looked sort of checked out themselves and Curry couldn't carry them another round.
I'm not sure JT can this round either unless a few others wake up, particularly Jaylen. There's still time, but Jaylen this round is like Tatum in last year's Finals which isn't ideal.