I'm guessing it will be 8-7, with us dropping the Utah/Portland back to back, the LAC away game, both Phoenix games, the GSW game, Milwaukee away.
I also looked back and realized if not for our throwing away those 6 games we were in winning positions in (vs NY in 2OT, vs Was in 2OT, vs Chi where we led by 25+ but collapsed in the 4th, vs Dallas where we got Doncic'd, vs Cle where the Cavs won with 2 last second free throws, and vs Spurs where we fell behind by 26, fought back to lead by 7 then were outscored by 15 to lose) we could easily be 17-4 and heading the EC right now. Those losses were not because we got blown away and outplayed for the whole game but where we squandered winning positions and lost key moments in the games.
That's how small the margins are in terms of public perception of this team. They're definitely talented enough and have shown the ability to be better than people think, but their lapses in key moments are why they are where they are, and why they deserve to be where they are. Because they haven't been able to be consistent enough throughout the entire 48 minutes.
I thought we would lose Portland but not Utah, I thought we would win LAL but not LAC. I did get Phoenix right, and I'm still expecting them to win vs Mil at home and lose to GSW. For us to finish 8-7 we would have to beat Mil at home, then the Knicks, Philly, Cleveland (who are playing really well), Minny away and that Clippers at home. But we could just as easily go 4-15 on this stretch with only the Knicks and Minnesota looking like bankable wins coming up
Dec. 2: PHI —> W
Dec. 4: @UTA —> L
Dec. 5: @POR —> W
Dec. 8: @LAL —> L
Dec. 9: @LAC —> L
Dec. 11: @PHX —> L
Dec. 14: MIL -> W
Dec. 18: GSW -> L
Dec. 19: NYK -> W
Dec. 21: PHI -> L
Dec. 23: CLE -> W
Dec. 25: @MIL -> L
Dec. 28: @MIN
Dec. 30: LAC
Dec. 31: PHX
So far we're 5-7 and need to win all 3 for my prediction to come true...more realistically we will beat Min and lose to Pho, with the LAC game being a toss up since PG13 is out. So either 6-9 or 7-8 which would have to be a disappointing outcome, taking into account we didn't expect so many absences due to Covid. But then again some of our opponents are dealing with the same issue, so we can't use it as an excuse. Against this type of opposition we're hovering around the .500 mark which is really where we are as a team over the season - inconsistent. Able to beat the likes of Phi and Mil one night and losing to others on alternative nights and not really at the level of teams like Pho and GS. Disappointing but not really surprising.
Again, I will say that we have had at least 8 losses which were definite missed opportunities, where we controlled most of the game and lost: vs NY in 2OT, vs Was in 2OT, vs Chi where we led by 25+ but collapsed in the 4th, vs Dallas where we got Doncic'd, vs Cle where the Cavs won with 2 last second free throws, vs Spurs where we fell behind by 26, fought back to lead by 7 then were outscored by 15 to lose, vs Phi where we got Embiided in the last few minutes after controlling the game, and against Mil where we were leading by 19 and lost. You could probably throw in the Clips game in LA where we lost by 3.
If we had won those as good teams do when they control the game and lead in the final moments, we would have 8 or 9 more wins in the win column and be 24-9 or 25-8 which would be top of the conference. Even if we only win half of those games we would still be 20-13, still good for 4th. Those are the margins between being an average team and a good team in the Eastern Conference today