Funny story about rookies and this draft:
In the summer of 2011 we did one of these and my team had Lebron James. Plus a bunch of other excellent players. The team had the most talent in that draft. We voted rounds of the playoffs back then. In the semis my team faced a team starting a rookie, Derrick Williams.
Because Lebron lost in the Finals weeks earlier and because Derrick Williams was a #2 pick that had a good defensive reputation in college, voters were swayed to believe that Derrick Williams, someone who had never played an NBA minute, would be able to contain Lebron in a playoff series.
Lebron then went one to win 5 of the next 10 NBA titles. Derrick Williams went on to be JAG.
It's Celticsblog. The Lebron hate was palpable. Looking back, it's easy to see which team should have won that draft.
Point is, rookies are rookies and therefore are unknowns. If you are going to try to put a rookie in an important role and expect to win this draft, remember.....Derrick Williams. You might convince some people that a rook can have a Magic Johnson type effect. The reality is....almost all rookies don't have that effect.