I love Paul Pierce but I would be absolutely devastated if the club wasted away Rondo's prime by paying Paul Pierce a load of money just to finish out his career here in Boston. Devastated, absolutely devastated.
No contract extension.
How about Paul Pierce as as sixth man and scorer off the bench?
I wouldn't hurt the club's cap flexibility over it ... and Pierce wouldn't stay for the money I would be willing to talk about.
Paul Pierce is going to want around $10 million per annum. No interest in giving him that type of money. Barely any interest at half that price nevermind $10 million.
I admire your bloodless read on the situation (honestly - it's what we probably need from Danny; as a group, the vast majority of us would let sentiment interfere with our decision-making).
So - what's your take (or have you posted it elsewhere)?
Let Pierce expire, and move other pieces to make a run at... Melo (?) in 2011? Given it's not a strong free agent class next summer, perhaps a deadline deal makes more sense.
Anyway, I love Paul, like we all do, but like you, I'm mostly interested in opening a new window with a transcendent talent beside Rondo, however we might find one.
(1) If the team feels it has a chance at another title then keep the team together for one more season. Keep Pierce but refuse to negotiate a contract extension and let him walk for free in the summer. May need to help facilitate a sign and trade but that won't bring much back.
Use that 2011/12 season as a year in transition and begin rebuilding. See if there are any trading possibilities (expiring contracts with Garnett/Sheed + 2010 and 2011 draft picks + future picks + 2010 MLE signing as assets). Also a 2011 MLE signing, if the right talent is available, could help the process.
(2) If the team doesn't feel it has a chance at another title, then blow it up now. Send Pierce + Sheed to Dallas for Damp + Stevenson + filler and get their salaries out of the way. Try to trade Garnett to the Spurs for RJ and remove his 2011/12 salary. Let Ray Allen walk. Do not sign TA or Nate to contracts that last beyond one season.
Use the 2010/11 season as a year in transition (borderline playoff team = low lottery pick to mid first rounder) and begin retooling through free agency the following summer. The best talent available in that class (outside of Durant/Melo) are big men (Oden, Noah, Horford) and that decision will bring clarity to Kendrick Perkins' future too.
I think Thomas, for an MLE signing, is a special talent. The best I have seen since Chauncey Billups albeit not as good as Chauncey was. You just don't see players of his ability + potential available for that price range very often. I would be willing to sign him and hurt the 2012 cap flexibility because (1) he is exceptional for that price range (2) there is still enough cap flexibility left to make a max contract signing + another impact signing (unless something horrible happens at the next CBA negotiations which are beyond the team's control so I'd ignore them). Also, I think Thomas + Perk would be an excellent defensive combination and provide a great backbone to the team.
Add a 2010 draft pick + 2011 draft pick and do something with the cap flexibility (either in free agency or via a trade) and the team will be well on it's way to several 50 win seasons for the next 5-8 years.
How well they execute the next move will decide whether they make that transition from a very good regular season team to a full fledged title contender.
Unfortunately, I don't believe there is any way to plan that final move out. Too many variable to account for both for the Celtics and across the league. Impossible to tell what type of opportunities the C's will have from there. But that's the skeleton of the plan ... that should be fleshed out as it goes along.
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That is the rough idea of what I would like to see the Celtics do.