I look at the season series and throw out the first two games. The first game we won at home by 4 points very early in the season.
The second game (also in Boston) the Bucks blew our doors off by 13 in December, but I don't put much stock in this one either. Hayward was still in recovery mode, Baynes and Horford didn't play, and Semi was our starting center. Snell and Maker couldn't miss. Totally meaningless game IMO.
The one game that should be looked at as a good indicator is the last game, played 2/21. Despite being in Milwaukee, despite our team still being out of sorts (we'd go on to lose 4 in a row including a 23 point blow out loss to the Raptors several days later), despite Baynes and Hayward not playing, we competed very well, and lost barely by a point (98-97). To me, I expect most of the games to play out this way. I predict we will win in 7, but can also see the case for the Bucks winning in 7, because Giannis is the best player, and has emerged as nearly impossible to stop.
I'm a proud homer in deciding to cast my net with the Celts. But really like how the two teams match up, and look forward to what I expect to be a classic series.
This should not be a short series.