Not a good 2 days, first Cincinnati loses and then Ohio State gets embarrassed again. Beating was so bad they have virtually no shot at back dooring into playoff now
I wish you were right but I think they still have a pretty good chance. Georgia, Michigan and TCU are locks. OSU needs Georgia to beat LSU in the SEC championship which I'd say is very likely and then they need USC to lose to either Notre Dame or in the Pac-12 championship which I'd say is 50/50.
Assuming USC and TCU win out, but then LSU beats Georgia in the Champ Game, does that mean a 2-loss LSU team gets in ahead of USC? Tbh that'd be kinda unfair if you ask me that LSU gets to go in in that case, but I think the Committee would do it.
It's tough for Ohio State but certainly not impossible. They'd probably need LSU to lose, and for at least 1 of USC/TCU to lose in the coming weeks. Then it might come down to Ohio State or even Alabama who surprisingly are still in the running at #7 now (though I think they shouldn't be)
But assuming everyone wins out, it feels like the CFP will already be set.
1. Georgia
2. Michigan
3. TCU (currently up 34-7 in their game)
4. USC (play #13 Notre Dame tonight)
Ohio State I assume will go to #6 unless if USC loses tonight, then maybe #5 while LSU moves to #4 for the time being. The SEC Championship Game could have real repercussions regarding that 4th spot. I do think Georgia, Michigan and TCU are virtual locks, and it's between LSU, USC, Ohio State and Alabama for the last spot (LSU & USC pretty much control their own destinies though)