Although i'm in the group that leans toward explaining LBJ's tough night as more of an abboration than anything, I have to give a lot of credit to Pierce and POZ for the way they handled BronBron last night. They were physical, they moved their feet, and they trusted their help.
As i mentioned, i would be SHOCKED if LeBron missed a lot of those same shots during the rest of the series, however, one factor that i think really contributed to LeBron's tentativeness and his some of his awkward possesions in general was Posey's "convulsing" D.
Did anyone else notice (am i'm sure you did) the way POZ was moving his body, particularly on a couple of late 4th quarter possessions, while D-ing up LeBron? It looked like some sort of full body spasm. I'm not even sure how else to describe it other than "spastic" or "convulsive;" i'd never seen anything like that before. Nevertheless, I think it might of gotten into LeBron's head just a bit - enough to make him think a little too much rather than just catching the ball and letting it happen organically.
The adjectives smooth, silky, or gracefull have never come to mind when I've watched Posey, but regardless of the way it looks on the outside, he seems to possess a ton of knowledge on even the subtlest of nuances - on both ends of the court. I don't know what roation Doc will stick with in crunch time (and i'll admit i LOVED the way Perk played in the 4th last night), but he has got to continue to stick POZ in there when it counts....those 2 big free throws should go a ways in helping that arguement as well.
I agree with most of what you say here, and its a good anaylsis, but someone is going to have to explain to me the feeling that lebron "missed alot of shots he would normally make"
Looking at his shot chart, he got into the paint 3 times. 3 times all game. Lebron is not a good deep or midrange shooter. 15 of his looks came from midrange/3 point land. He is currently averaging 31% deep and 41% from the field. Even if you want to try to say he should ahve made more shots, the realstic number, given that he didn't get into the paint, is 3-4 shots out of 15.
He missed one shot he should have had, the lay up. Other than that, he shot from the field. he's an average jump shooter who can go on hot streaks.
If you can turn lebron into a jump shooter, which the celtics defense did last night, he's not nearly as effective.
That said, do i think he will stay a jump shooter? probley not, its tough to deny him the paint as well as they did night in and night out, but to say he missed alot of shots he normaly makes is untrue.
Note that i am in no way saying lebron is not an amazing player that we have to be very, very, good gaurding, but if we can take him out of the fantastic stuff he does in the paint, that a huge plus for us.
and mac, TP and thanks for the kind words, hopefully the series will play out with this kind of D from both sides all series, and hopefully the refs will continue to swallow thier whistles, within reason.