CelticsStrong
Celtics Basketball => Celtics Talk => Topic started by: Smitty77 on February 11, 2013, 07:47:05 PM
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Does anyone have any data regarding the winning percentage of teams that play in a triple OT home game and then play a back to back road game the next night vs. a team NOT on a back to back?
I bet it is around 10-20%.
Any help would be greatly appreciated.
That is why I think winning this game vs. the Bobcats would be most impressive.
Thanks,
Smitty77
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Well, there have been 42 triple-overtime (or more) games since 1986. Here they are:
Link (http://www.basketball-reference.com/play-index/tgl_finder.cgi?request=1&match=game&lg_id=NBA&year_min=&year_max=&team_id=&opp_id=&is_playoffs=&round_is_ec1=Y&round_is_ecs=Y&round_is_ecf=Y&round_is_wc1=Y&round_is_wcs=Y&round_is_wcf=Y&round_is_fin=Y&game_num_type=&game_num_min=&game_num_max=&game_month=&game_location=H&game_result=&is_overtime=&c1stat=mp&c1comp=gt&c1val=315&c2stat=&c2comp=gt&c2val=&c3stat=&c3comp=gt&c3val=&c4stat=&c4comp=gt&c4val=&order_by=mp)
The rest of it is probably going to require some research.
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I'd be surprised if there is much useful data, considering the sample size has to be ridiculously small.
Can't imagine that happens more than once every few seasons.
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Elias maybe?
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Looking at the last few teams that played on the road the day after 3 or more OT since 2004-2005:
Toronto wins at Indiana 2012-11-13
Utah wins at New Jersey 2012-03-26
Atlanta wins at Charlotte 2012-01-06
Miami loses at Philadelphia 2009-03-15
Utah loses at Orlando 2009-03-15
Charlotte wins at Indiana 2006-12-30
So there is a three-game win streak for teams playing on the road in the second game of a back-to-back in which the first game had three or more overtimes.
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Looking at the last few teams that played on the road the day after 3 or more OT since 2004-2005:
Toronto wins at Indiana 2012-11-13
Utah wins at New Jersey 2012-03-26
Atlanta wins at Charlotte 2012-01-06
Miami loses at Philadelphia 2009-03-15
Utah loses at Orlando 2009-03-15
Charlotte wins at Indiana 2006-12-30
So there is a three-game win streak for teams playing on the road in the second game of a back-to-back in which the first game had three or more overtimes.
Well, it's mostly what I suspected; happens less than once per season. Sample size is too small to mean anything.
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Going back to the 1992-1993 season, which is as far back as realgm.com goes and excluding playoff games as there are usually NO back to backs in the playoffs, teams are 5-5.
I was surprised. Dumb me forgot to see if the teams were playing on the road or not.
I wonder how many teams were playing with two starters OUT (ala Rondo and Sully)??:-)))
I think it will be a MIRACLE if we win this game!!! This would be a blood and guts win vs. a desparate and rested and fully healthy Bobcats' team.
Smitty77
P.S. Thanks for the data Roy!!!