I'd still go the Ainge route:
- get IT with a late 1st rounder of which you have plenty. IT is on such a reasonable contract that you can always flip him for the same or better.
- in case he helps the team get to the playoffs, package a tonne of picks (cause we have more than a tonne of those) trying to move up. Chances are if you overpay, you will get a deal done.
There was absolutely no guarantee IT would be available later. With that contract and the situation in PHO, somebody else would have given up a pick to get him.
Now, if Ainge had not caught Charlotte's management in a minor case of dementia, we would have had Winslow AND IT, and a lot less 1st rounders. The discussion would then be if Winslow is worth it.
MJ did not agree (still cannot believe it) , Riley would never agree. Well, stuff happens. Still, it was not a bad plan.
You make some very good points and they are all true, especially about Charlotte's insanity and Danny's plain bad luck. Although I think Danny could have made a handshake deal with his buddy McDonough in Phoenix for IT after the season, he Suns may well have dealt IT to someone else given the contract situation. Good points, TP.
If we use hindsight, what would you prefer more....
1) Acquiring IT, making the playoffs.
2) Missing the playoffs, acquiring Justise Winslow
In this scenario, it comes down to:
IT+ Rozier and the playoff experience of the rest of the team (for what that is worth)
vs.
Winslow + Cavs pick in 2016.
I'd go with Winslow, but it is close. To me it comes down to the highest potential guy, in addition to having 2 potentially core players at different positions in Smart and Winslow on the same development path.
It should be noted, that I still do not like the Rozier pick. Had Ainge picked one of my draft favorites, I would have had other opinion.
It is close due to IT's contract. For the production he gives, that is superb value for money.
I also have no idea what going to the playoffs mean for our current young players. Some would say it is important, some - that it is not. I just have no idea.