The best scenario is that MIL stays at 2 and PHI drops down to 7 or 8 and wins the first play-in to get the 7 seed. Assuming Embiid is back for the beginning of the playoffs, he plays vs MIL in the first round and PHI beats MIL, but Embiid gets so worn down that he can hardly play the rest of the playoffs and they then lose to the #3 seed, thus taking down the two best players we could face in the East.
Boston then beats MIA in the first round (I am not afraid of them), and ORL or NYK in the second round (I don't care, both teams could be dangerous but we will just need to beat them). Then we get CLE in the finals. No Giannis, No Healthy Embiid.