In his career (8 seasons), Porzingis has had 3 seasons with 65 or more regular season games, 4 seasons with between 43-64 games, and 1 season with 0 games. He has played a total of 10 playoff games. He just turned 28 years old and is under contract for 3 seasons. Can we expect maybe 2 of 3 of these seasons with over 65 games plus playoffs? Maybe the 3rd season with 50 games plus playoffs? I don't think that is unrealistic if maybe optimistic.
We know Porzingis is going to need to miss games, have his minutes managed. That is why is trade value was what it was and why his contract is $30M not $60M. He is a calculated risk. I feel good about the trade still at this point. Porzingis is a really good player, there is high potential reward that comes with the risk. I think he understands that these 3 seasons are a huge opportunity for him to define his legacy, and that isn't hyperbole. It literally could mean a couple of championships, or even just deep playoff runs, and his whole career redefined.
I think he is now a mature player who gets it, which wasn't always the case earlier in his career. I think he was miffed he got traded by the Knicks, kind of pouted in DAL, and wasn't much happier in WAS. Now I feel he wants to be in Boston, he recognizes the opportunity that he has. To me, that part of this is why I think he is worth the risk. I don't think we have even seen all of his potential, he can be even better than 23 pts / 8.4 Rebs / 38.5 3P% / 1.5 Blks that he put up last season. To me, it is pretty clear he wants to win and is ready to assume whatever role is needed to help the team.
Now let's see if he can stay on the court.