Both of those scenarios seem like they are about 5 wins short. They won 55 games last season, with Hayward missing the whole season, Irving missing 22 games, and a 19 year old rookie in the starting line-up. I can't imagine (nor do I want to) a worst case scenario than what we experienced last season, so 47 wins seems far too low. Their best case scenario is 62 wins, assuming Irving and Hayward are healthy for the entire season? So a healthy Irving and Hayward, along with the second year from one of the most promising young players in the NBA, is only worth 7 wins max?