Crazy race to the end of the season for the picks.
Dallas and Memphis tied at the 6/7 spot, both with 47 losses and 4 games remaining. (Dallas is low key tanking so they will finish with more loses, next 2 games against each other)
NOP and Washington tied at the 8/9 spots both with 47 losses but only 3 games left. (pels will lose at least 2 games out of 3 - Suns-Kings-GSW) (Washington will lose at least 2 games out of 3 - SAS-NYK-BOS)
Predictions:
Dallas with 51 losses
NOP with 50 losses
Washington with 49 Losses
Memphis with 49-50 losses.
If Memphis finishes 7th - 14% chance pick falls to 9 or 10
If Memphis finishes 8th - 42% chance pick falls to 9-11
If Memphis finishes 9th - 76.9% chance it is pick 9-12
Sacramento is currently tied with Miami for 13-14 with 40 losses each.
Miami has Minny, Toronto, Philly, Brooklyn. I expect Miami to get some rested players and since they are fighting hard for playoffs against magic, nets and Pistons in these games and will go 3-1.
Sacramento has Cleveland, Utah, Portland and Pelicans. Pelicans is a win, but Portland and Utah are battling for Home Court so I think those games are 2 loses for Sacramento, the wildcard for them is the game with Cleveland, that is a game the Kings could lose if not careful.
Prediction
Miami 41 losses
Sacramento 42 losses
If Sacramento ends up 14th - 2.7% chance it jumps to pick 2-4
If Sacramento ends up 13th - 3% chance it jumps to pick 2-4