Magic are 17th in defensive rating that's not one of the worst defenses in the league.
Recency bias does make you think in betting terms, because most bettors are bad because of it.
Two average defenses and two horrible offenses met the idea that you're shocked they didn't go over is strange. The whole "but this quarter and half were on pace" again is just recency or end point biased thinking. Quarters are up and down just how the game is.
Recently both teams went on west coast swings and got housed, that doesn't invalidate the prior 30+ games of defensive work they'd put in. Or the entire run of terrible offensive games they'd put in either.
Orlando gives up 104ppg, and is 21st in the league for OPP PPG.
Celtics are actually 9th with OPP ppg being 98.7
Which is still close to giving up 100 pg.
Now let's look at scoring wise.
Both teams are bad offensively
With Orlando scoring 96ppg
And cs scoring 95.2
You average all that out, games scoring should've been at 196.9 aka 197.
That's for the season
Now recently the total scored should have been 205, with the way both teams have been playing.
Also put into account their last meeting was a Final score of 120-100.
All trends and facts and numbers are set in stone this game should have went over, first half pace was to go over. The 3rd quarters pace was put down so much it could have been a fix. Literally the magic were running plays until 2-6 seconds left on the shot clock, and they have no players to be running set plays for except for Afflalo and the celtics were doing the same. Both teams have not been playing like this recently and as for the season only the celtics usually play like that.
Rondo slowed the game down, refs ended the game early with a loose ball foul call with 10 seconds left.
Combination of 3rd quarter and Not going into OT played into the only reason this game did not go over.
I've been handicapping everyday for the past 4-5 years now. My picks go 7-8 and 8-10 almost everyday, I do this. I know if teams styles should go over and under. Yesterday's game was a fix or a just terrible circumstances !
Joe pizz