We had the rest in Game 1 against MIL and we lost. I actually think this favors us in this Game 1. It could catch up with us for Game 2 though. We still have the glow from the big Game 7 win. Miami has not had a close game since the ATL series. I am hoping this works in our favor.
I have a take on why the Cs lost game one and looked so bad game 1 vs the bucks.
As some of you may have experienced when you play pickup B-Ball and go from guarding a bigger stronger more physical guy for a couple of games to guarding a smaller quicker guy or vise versa the physical differences contrast each other making the big guy seem stronger and the quick guy seem quicker. With time you adjust to the style and pace and its less of an issue. I think this is exactly what happened in game 1 vs the Bucks. The nets where not physical at all and played a smaller lineup. The bucks size and physicality was such a contrast that it was a shock to the Cs. The Bucks series should have the Cs dialed in for the physicality that the Heat will bring.
My only worry (aside from Rob and Smart's health) is that the Cs will be tackling Butler and Bam given that they are still dialed into defensing Giannis on the drive. This may lead to a lot of players in early foul trouble tonight.
Your point about adjustments is fair but remember MIA has to adjust to us too. I still think that all favors us. We are dialed into MIL level of competition, MIA is dialed into PHI.
I do agree though regarding fouls. Butler will draw fouls and get calls. With Smart possibly out, we cannot afford foul trouble for any of our wings or guards. If RWill is back and able to play even say 20 reasonably productive minutes, our big rotation has enough minutes to absorb some level of foul trouble. But with Smart potentially out or limited, if Brown for example, gets in foul trouble, it probably means Nesmith is in the game. Not the end of the world, but certainly not ideal.
If I was MIA, that is how I would attack us. Make Brown and Tatum play defense and maybe pick up fouls. Tatum got frustrated and picked up some fouls in Game 7 and you know MIA saw this.