Murray shot 31% from 3 last year 5.4 assists
Smart shot 33%, 5.7 assists
Not really an upgrade.
Except Murray shot half the amount of threes Smart did, shot 5% better from the field, rebounds at double the rate, turns it over less, fouls less and played better defence last year.
Smart's true shooting %age was 54%. Murray's was 51%. TS% takes into account 3s, 2-point shoots, and free throws. (For reference, league average is around 58%.)
They were both pretty bad scoring the ball, but all things considered Murray was worse, and really really bad.
Smart's defense was off last year, and that is a legitimate concern. I do buy that last year was a very bad year for a lot of players, him included, and that he was also hurt a good part of the year. He's been a bulldog for a long time, and I think it's more likely he will be back next year.
Murray would never get 14.5 FGAs here, so I don't think it's particularly concerning. He'd be here for his passing, versatile defence (6'4" with a 6'10" wingspan), dribble penetration and rebounding. I also think that given Murray's mid-range game (47.2% between 16-24 feet) he could really improve in a lesser offensive role.
It would be great to have someone who could drive and dish. We currently have nobody on the team who is able to do so well.
Neither Smart or Pritchard offer that at PG. Fournier, Tatum and Jaylen are all currently secondary ball-handlers / creators rather than primary options.
How is Tatum our secondary shot creator? We run pretty much everything through him in the half court. Obviously, he ain't an elite facilitator, but he can definitely create shots for his teammates.
Personally speaking, I'd want us to start an oversized, pass-first PG who's happy to play off the ball on offense. Don't really care whether he can create his own shot. We already got 4 scoring options in our starting lineup in Tatum, Brown, Fournier and (to a lesser extent due to his age) Horford. In fact, I actually think we'd be better off with a PG who ain't looking to create his own shot. It would do wonders for our ball movement.
The way I see it, none of Smart / Dejounte / White is an ideal fit. They're average shooters, hence they aren't great off-ball options. In any case, Smart fits the bill in my book, cause he's happy to play off the ball and he's literally the perfect fit in our switch-heavy defensive system. He's also a reliable ball handler, an underrated passer (especially in the PnR) and a respectable shooter.
Smart slows everything down and doesn't make good decisions. I would be fine with him starting if he was a better decision maker under pressure, and if he just made a conscious decision to get up court more quickly and keep the ball moving. But he hasn't ever really shown that.
Which is fine by me cause I actually want us to be a hard-nosed team which dictates the tempo of the game on both sides of the ball. No point in constantly running up and down the court. Two reasons for that:
1. Horford, Fournier and Tatum are crafty players who are better suited in a slow-paced game.
2. The majority of playoff games are won in the half court . I'm assuming the #1 goal is to win a championship, not to play entertaining basketball during the regular season.
I also disagree regarding Smart's decision making. Imo, he's a willing passer and a reliable PnR ball handler. To put it another way, he's a Point Guard. It ain't his fault that we've been mostly using him as an off-ball shooter. Obviously, his shot selection is an ongoing issue. That said, it would have been a way less noticeable problem if we were using him as a facilitator. Check out this stat:
Zero dribbles prior to a 3pt shot: 4.3 attempts per game
1 dribble: 0.8 attempts per game
2 dribbles: 0.3 attempts per game
3-6 dribbles: 0.5 attempts per game
7+ dribbles: 0.1 attempts per game
He's mostly attempting catch-and-shoot 3s. If you ask me, I bet CBS wanted him to take most of these 3s.