Relying on the draft to provide a starting PG for a team looking to be title contender is a losing proposition.
It is essential that the PG be an excellent decision maker, ball handler, and defend his position well.
I continue to bang the drums for Fred VanVleet and Jalen Brunson. FVV is perfect for this team and JB brings similar skills except he is cheaper. It’s preferable if we can make either move only trading draft capital and matching salary.
For this to result into a title winning team, Ime has to be a better HC and Tatum and Brown have to become top 20 stalwarts.
How much do we think Jalen Brunson will cost?
I am thinking $20+ million per year. Maybe $22-23 million per. Plus it'll take a sign and trade with some assets heading back to Dallas.
The most the C’s can give Brunson will be around 4 years, $74 million. This is via the TPE. The Mavs will have trouble taking back matching salaries because of the base-year compensation rule (his outgoing salary counts as half his incoming salary). Furthermore, the Mavs will be up against the tax line next summer so their appetite for taking on unwanted salaries will be limited. They could send out some additional unwanted salaries of their own to the C’s to help the numbers work, but the C’s would be hard capped by a S&T, so that’s unlikely to happen also.
I also think your numbers are a bit high. FVV had shown a little bit more in his four years prior to his big deal. I think a 4-year, $74 million would be a pretty fair deal on both sides. And with the Mavs current salaries, I also think it higher than they’d be willing to go, so I’m crossing my fingers that’s how July plays out.