I just read your part B of the Seattle breakdown, and I am actually very surprised... You don't see Tim Duncan vs. Al Jefferson as a win for Seattle?
I think you should read it again, because what I say I think we can actually both agree with.
I don't think you count DUncan over Jefferson as a win. To me offensively Jefferson is a win over Duncan, while offensively Duncan is a win over whoever I have playing center. Its more complicated than just "A or B".
Jefferson as an offensive player plays better than most over Tim Duncan the defensive player. He's gotten 25pts and 9 rbs on 51% shooting. That's pretty awesome.
Now Tim Duncan is a better offensive player than Al Jefferson is a defensive player, so its kind of a "I can't stop you, you can't stop me" situation. Check out teh numbers, they bear out my thoughts on the topic.
Maybe its a TJ Ford vs Rajon Rondo situation but Tim Duncan doesn't dominate Al Jefferson when they play each other. he actually plays a little worse than he usually does.
Also, I'm not taking the leash off Dahntay Jones and letting him just chuck. I'm saying over the course of an 82 game season I expect more then 17 three point attempts when he shot 64% from distance. He will shoot more, not he will shoot nonstop until I forcibly remove him from the floor.
Yeah but when he shoots more do you still expect him to hit above 45% of his 3pters?
What about more than 35%?
Basically I'm asking how many points do you think DJ scores a game? In 06/07 in memphis, he scored 7.5 per game, playing 21 mins per. Do you think he's better than that?
And this tidbit is the reason why I didn't draft him (I think I've shown this around before)
The latest move has been the push to pay Dahntay Jones through his prime kicking and pushing years. It's an awful contract, even at the cheap price of four years and $11 million, because what Jones does is so utterly replaceable.
He gets the reputation as a defensive stopper, but last year's Nuggets were actually better defensively with him off the floor (and way better offensively). George Karl just liked the idea of starting the tough guy over the mercurial J.R. Smith, so he kept up the charade.
Kyle Korver fears no Dahntay Jones.
Let me preface this entire thing by saying I have had a raging headache all day, and it's completely within the realm of possibility that I just misread what you typed.
I get ya on the Duncan/Big Al thing, the numbers are there, I'm just surprised Duncan isn't tougher on Jefferson. I would imagine if Duncan and Jefferson played in the playoffs, noting Duncan's tendency to turn it up in the postseason, the numbers would favor Duncan more. However, that is mere speculation, and you have the numbers there as being fairly self-explanatory.
I absolutely believe Dahntay Jones can be an 8 point per game player on efficient shooting. He has worked hard at the three point shooting and defense side of his game, and I got him in a fairly late round pick. He has size, can defend, and hit threes. He's a fine backup for Gordon, and possible starter at times if matchups dictate I can bring Gordon off the bench in a 6th man role. Just keep in mind I didn't pay him $11 million or draft him early, so the critique of his real life contract means nothing to me.
JR Smith- Round 3, pick 5
Dahntay Jones- Round 9, pick 16
I would hope the Nuggets were better with Smith then Jones.