Instead of thinking about the Nets improving, think about it this way:
It's unlikely that the Nets will be better than the Hawks (1), Cavs (2) or Raptors (3) next year.
The Wizards (4) will probably have a new coach and improve as a result, even if they lose a starter or two.
The Bulls (5) will still have Mirotic, Gasol and Noah, even if they lose Butler, Thibs and Rose. That's better than the Nets.
The Bucks (6) should have Jabari all year.
The Heat (7) will have Bosh and a full season of Whiteside.
The Pacers ( 8 ) will have PG back and a lottery pick. Those spaces are just so it doesn't go like this (
So what could the Nets do to top any of those 8 teams? (Also disclaimer: those numbers aren't the order that I think they will finish, it's just to point out that there are 8 teams above where I think the Nets will finish, no matter what the Nets do.)
We have a good chance at either a lotto pick or a max FA, the Hornets are adding a lotto pick and were good last year, the 76ers could do a bunch of trades and get the Lakers' #6 pick in combination with their own pick, the Knicks could pull off a coup, etc.
So basically, the Nets could do what exactly to improve? They could either resign Lopez and have their cap tied up to a player that will be injured half the year, or they could let him walk and replace him with who? Who are they drafting with the ATL pick that will skyrocket them past any of those teams? If anything, they'll probably be worse next year!
Agreed on all points. So if that holds true, we could
potentially have 3 lottery picks next season.
Who will Dallas surpass?
Blazers
OKC
Grizzlies
Rockets
Spurs
Warriors
Clippers
That's 7 right there. So the aging Mavericks, who have plenty of free agents of their own, will be fighting it out with the following teams for the last playoff spot:
Pelicans...Davis is improving by the day and the team on the whole is on the rise.
Suns...they've been sniffing the playoffs for the last couple of seasons and the gap between them and the Mavs is shrinking fast.
Jazz...Haywood, Favors, Gobert, etc. have made the Jazz one of the most promising teams in the league. They've quietly had a very good record since the break.
Lakers...Only if they're able to land Love and keep their top 5 pick. Adding Love, and say a more NBA ready player like a Russell or Winslow, to add to Kobe and Randle could make them at least a threat to surpass the Mavs in the standings.
Wolves...dangerous young team that will probably be adding an Okafor or Towns this summer, to go along with Wiggins, Rubio, Lavine, Dieng, etc. Could their young players improve enough to better the Mavs? Doubtful.
Kings...they have Cousins, but their ownership is so dysfunctional that it really hurts their odds.
Nuggets...they're a mess. No chance.