I would not trade Tatum for anyone because his value is the lowest it will ever be. And it's not just an age thing of rookies will always grow and become better. For example, I believe that Jaylen Browns value is the highest it will ever be right now. I don't consider him to be more than a good starter because he doesn't have the killer instinct to be the guy, but some GMs still think that he has star potential.
If it's Giannis for Tatum straight up in a hypothetical world where it's legal, sure. But you'd have to throw in picks, players, the kitchen sink. It's just not worth it.
I dont want to get off topic here but Jaylen Brown in his time in the league has dunked over Lebron, clapped in Currys face, flexed on Cousins and blew kisses at the 76ers bench. I think he has plenty of killer instinct.
And yet he's shooting well under league average in FGs % both 0-3 ft and 3-10 ft from rim. For someone as athletic as him, that's a red flag. I'm not talking about attitude. Lance Stephenson does that garbage as well. I'm talking about I have the ball and I'm going to take it down your throat.
I'm sorry to blow the dreams of all, but he's a very average offensive player so far. I'm seeing very little signs of superstar. I'd trade him in the package because some GM might be fooled in thinking he's a franchise player based on the handful of amazing plays he's done. He needs much more consistency to convince me.
He's shooting 63% from 0-3 feet, 26% from 3-10, 45% from 10-16, 47% from 16-3PT and 38% from 3PT.
He's only attempted 62 shots from 3-10 all year. Overall he's giving us 14 points on 11 FGA. Sure, superstar or franchise player is a lot to ask, but he's above average at age 21 and projects to a 20+ guy in his prime.
Those numbers are below league average, as I mentioned. Points are up due to usage going up. He hasn't improved much offensively. Advanced analytics shows it.
I would not trade Tatum for anyone because his value is the lowest it will ever be. And it's not just an age thing of rookies will always grow and become better. For example, I believe that Jaylen Browns value is the highest it will ever be right now. I don't consider him to be more than a good starter because he doesn't have the killer instinct to be the guy, but some GMs still think that he has star potential.
If it's Giannis for Tatum straight up in a hypothetical world where it's legal, sure. But you'd have to throw in picks, players, the kitchen sink. It's just not worth it.
Brown's value is as high as it ever will be?
Half way through his second year?
At 21?
After being about the most improved player in the league this year?
After tremendously improving his defense, outside shooting, handle, aggressiveness, and ability to finish in traffic?
Wow! Talk about a hot take!
There's a difference between trade value and performance/ability. His trade value is very high right now because people are buying into the potential. I don't think his trade value will go up much more than it is right now. He could currently fetch a ~5-10ish 1st rounder or be a piece of a larger package. His performance/ability will surely improve, though. Right now he's an average starter and he should trend towards above average starter. Superstar or any kind of star?... Unlikely.
Your adverbs are just as hot as my take, btw. Good thing there are stats to disprove them. While his 0-3 went up 2%, his 3-10 went down 13%! His turnovers per 36 minutes have also gone up. Defense has statistically improved. Not sure about tremendous, though. He went from -1 DBPM to 1 DBPM. While thats a large improvement, he technically went from slightly below average to slightly above average. We're also boasting huge DBPM numbers across the board (Kyrie Irving also had a +2 jump -2.3 to -0.4). The correlation seems to be the system and not the specific player. Most improved player? By which metric? That award will surely go to Oladipo. Not sure if anyone is even in the same stratosphere.