I'm saying 13-14 and he shoots a high percentage (47 or up). What I'm interested in is the over/under on games healthy. Him and Timelord staying healthy may be the key to the season,.
I agree with this. His career average 55.5 games per season, about 67% availability. This is mostly as a starter and mostly at 30+ min per game.
I have been wondering about it this way. Where is depth going to be a bigger issue. Both Horford and RWill seem vulnerable to injuries or just needing some minutes management. If we don't have one of them, it probably is going to mean more minutes for Vonleh, quite a downgrade (I assume Gallinari and Grant are playing regular minutes in any case). If Brogdon is out, we can play White or Pritchard more, really no big deal. But if Smart or Brown or Tatum go down, we end up needing Brogdon a lot more. If Brogdon is available, no problem, but he will be forced to play more.
I expect more issues with the bigs. Horford and RWill are going to miss time. I am also somewhat concerned that we don't really have a back up for Tatum. The back up would be Brown forcing Brogdon into more minutes to replace Brown which would wear him down and then he as to sit out. That is how I see Brogdon's durability becoming an issue. If he stays as a bench player, we can manage it but if we are forced to play him more, he may not hold up.