I think that a slimmer and more agile Sully would be a 20/10 player. He is skilled enough, and smart enough to be that kind of player, its just a matter of conditioning.
Trouble is he was not agile when he was slimmer nor was he a good athlete. He just does not have the base. I agree, he has some skill, some basketball IQ but getting is shape will only help him so much because his athletic base is small and finite.
http://www.draftexpress.com/article/NBA-Combine-Athletic-Testing-Results-Released-3964/
Sully was worst at the lane agility drill at 12.77 in his draft at his combine to put that into context KO was is an average athlete got 11.42, a guy like Cody Zeller posted a 10.8
Despite significant improvement, Sullinger still had 10.7% body fat. That’s not DeMarcus Cousins or Dexter Pittman level, but he should probably order the medium next time.
His 31-inch max vertical was sixth-worst, but his 7’1? wingspan gives him a solid max vertical reach. And the dude is sloooooow. Like, Peyton Manning slow. He was dead-last in lane agility, with the same time as the laterally-challenged Brook Lopez and JaVale McGee. He was also dead last in sprints. And despite all the talk about his overwhelming strength, his nine bench-press repetitions weren’t overly impressive.
Sullinger also refuted my sneaking suspicion that he’s a dead ringer for Kevin Love athletically, as Love’s combine numbers were much more impressive than Sullinger’s.
http://www.sportsgrid.com/nba/nba-draft-combine-results/
Here is a great Sullinger qoute:
"This (not being invited to the draft, being picked low) still tells me I'm not a good enough player yet. They told me I wasn't good enough, now it's time to work."
We are still waiting for him to start working, he has some talent, but I seriously question whether he will ever get it and get into shape.
http://boston.sbnation.com/boston-celtics/2012/6/29/3126741/nba-draft-2012-results-jared-sullinger-boston-celtics
here is what he said last year
“Not really focused on weight. More shape,” he said. “How long I can run, how fast I can run. Pretty much how long I can stay on the court without passing out. I’m working on that every day. I think I’ve got quick feet for my size. Losing weight and getting in better shape is only going to enhance that.”
http://www.bostonglobe.com/sports/2014/07/02/cnotes/lyA0clB4wlV7uIlumZdRmK/story.html
Now do you see what a huge "if" that is for him to get into shape. To be honest, I think we need a SF who can shoot the three and do those PP things., and a 4 and 5. We have the bench bigs .
When he was slimmer and in better shape, he was a rookie. This year he was averaging 14 and 8. And that is with pacing himself. And taking a ton of 3pt shots. So I completely think that 20 and 10 is about what he can do if he was a slimmer, well conditioned player playing a solid 32-36 minutes a game. His defense would probably be better too.
That said, I agree with you that he has not worked hard enough to get into shape and be the best player he could be. Otherwise we would have seen that. I think he will show up to camp at 270ish. Not where the team wants him, but better than the last 2 years. I also think that he will be trade bait this year because he is a solid asset still.
I think its a real shame that he let himself go so dramatically when he had his back surgery. That really was the start of his bad habits in the NBA because he found an excuse and just completely used it. And I don't care what he says about how hard it is to lose weight; people with less support than him do it all the time. He should be ripped with what he has at his disposal. And for god sake have some self control in regards to how much you eat. That is just discipline and mental fortitude. I know it can be hard, but he has everything else in place. His only job for half the year is to get in shape.
Side note: personally I would like to see him weigh in at 255, and work on his foot speed and strength. He is not naturally very quick, but if he were lighter he could improve it a bit.