Freak, Kawhi, Doncic. No one else. I don't trust Durant's health long-term.
To me, the tough question is Jokic. When you take a guy like AD, the offense has to go to AD. With Jokic, the offense goes through him. Dude can make 18 footers all day, and he may be the best passer in the NBA. Incredible offensive talent, but he'd be a liability the way we play D.
Lebron is too old, Embiid isn't going to all of the sudden not get injured, and guys like Lillard are a big defensive liability.
Ainge was wise to hold onto Tatum. IMO, he's going to be our best player since Bird.
It looks right now like another one to pile on the list of wrong takes/ predictions by me. One of these times I’ll post the whole ridiculous list so I can be banned for a month. Ha.
But I said something to the effect of Tatum is Carmelo- lite. He’ll never be Pierce level. He’s not instinctive like a Pierce or say Kevin McHale ( different position of course) where he could react to his opponents body instinctively.
I still don’t see this with Tatum anywhere close to a Pierce level and he’s still going nuts so I’m thrilled to be wrong. He’s looking amazing.
Maybe in that one way, but overall Tatum has now surpassed all the traditional reasonable comps we've had for him. I did a bbref player comparison with Tatum's partial age 21 3rd season, Carmelo's age 21 3rd season, PG13's age 22 3rd season, and Pierce's age 22 2nd season.
If you project Tatum's output through 58 games to maintain through the end of the year, he'd lead all those guys in VORP, Win Shares, WS/48, BPM, OBPM, and have the lowest TOs, highest TS%, EFG%, 3PT%, FT%, Block % and REB%, which is essentially tied. He has outgrown these comps to PG13, PP and Carmelo.
I'm just not sure who he's graduated to in terms of comps. He's not good enough for KD and he doesn't play like Lebron or Luka (Luka is also younger). But I'm open to suggestions of similar players who are better even than first ballot HOF guys like Pierce, George and Carmelo. Anyone got any ideas?
http://bkref.com/tiny/BEIBL
Ah, here are the "lies" you're spreading with
the misuse of statistics
(there's nothing wrong with statistics itself lol, it's how people use it). You forgot to take factors such as pace and situation of the league into account when you were comparing the non WS/VORP/BPM box stats of Pierce/PG/Melo to Tatum's (although to be fair George's 3rd season was never comparable to Tatum's in the box score), Melo and Pierce are still relatively close to Tatum if you adjust their box stats.
Tatum: 24.6 points per 75 possessions, +0.3% TS, -3.2% TO, 3 assists per 75 possessions
Pierce: 25.8 points per 75 possessions, +4.5% TS, -1,6% TO, 3.15 assists per 75 possessions
George: 18.5 points per 75 possessions, -0.4% TS, +1.5% TO, 4.425 assists per 75 possessions
Carmelo: 27.7 points per 75 possessions, +2.7% TS, -3.3% TO, 2.85 assists per 75 possessions
Note: asissts are pretty bad at measuring a player's ability to create opportunities for his teammates, but I can't find the stats that better capture this ability, eg. box creation.
I do think that his ceiling has outgrown these All-NBA comps though, Pierce/George were a full year older than Tatum at the same age while Melo was a sieve at defence. I'd like to think of his ceiling as the wing version of a more balanced Karl Malone (worse offensively, better defensively, monster at +/- but not a transcendent force) if this hot streak is actually sustainable.