It's interesting to me that the Celtics don't want to become hard-capped. It's possible that that's just a negotiating tactic to insist on the cheaper MLE. However, if the Celtics are sincerely contemplating exceeding the apron to pursue a big trade later this season, then I'll take back what I said about Wyc being cheap. Sort of.
I don't think anything is certain but do you want to give away the option to execute a trade to bring in more of a star, just for 1 year of Schroder? Beal is certainly one specific player that could be moved mid season, that we could very well be in on, but not for sure. That is just one example. I think it would be silly to sign Schroder and lock out the possibility just because you don't think Washington will trade Beal (I know Roy isn't saying that, but others are). Economist call this Opportunity Cost. What is the opportunity cost of signing Schroder to $9.8M or whatever and being hard capped? Impossible to say right now but some opportunity will be taken off the table. It might be Beal, it might be something else. To me, Schroder is not worth it.
The calculus around Fournier is different. No hard cap issue if we had signed him, just tax payments and starting the tax clock. That is a pure value calculation. Fournier at $20M or whatever for 3 or 4 years, with tax or Richardson for 1 year at $11.6M and at least the possibility of no tax. To me, I feel this was too much to pay for a player that essentially would be our 3rd wing behind Tatum and Brown. Fournier would be tradable for say Beal or someone like that so there would still be options. This probably did come down to cost/value. There will always be plenty to debate or second guess on this one. It would have been nice to at least get a TPE but I am not terribly disappointed about this transaction.