probably cost a couple to move Paul (unless they take on an equally terrible or worse contract i.e. John Wall).
Doubt it will cost much to move Paul to Miami, or they just won’t do it. Miami has bad salary to send back, so OKC will take the next couple years of James Johnson in lieu of sending picks.
James Johnson has 1 year at 15.1 million and then a player option at 15.8 million. They can get out of the entire contract for less than 1 year of Chris Paul. That isn't a bad contract at least comparatively.
I think even Miami would want a pick back especially since to get to the 38 million they would gut their depth and give up tradeable assets or expiring contracts (like Dragic, Olynyk, etc.).
Dragic has no value to Miami. They’ve been trying to dump him all summer — they thought they were going to send him to Dallas to create space for Butler, despite having no PG with which to replace him, but Dallas balked. The issue with Miami acquiring Paul is that they’re hard-capped, so they have to send out more salary than Paul makes in order to fit Paul in, as they have to sign minimum salary players to fill the roster.
Come September I expect a deal to look something like Paul and Patrick Patterson for Dragic, Johnson, and Meyers Leonard.
He has value as an expiring contract. And that is the point. I think in that trade, OKC is giving up a 1st. They get a ton of salary relief. To save that much money, I think they have to give up a 1st. That was the point I was making.
I just can't see Paul getting traded anywhere without the Thunder giving up a 1st or taking on terrible contract(s) in return, even Miami. And if the Thunder want real value back, it will cost them a couple of 1st's just like it did for Houston (and Westbrook has an even bigger contract). Chris Paul is done as a top tier player, yet he has one of the largest contracts in the league. To move on from him, it will cost a 1st.
Do you know what value expiring contracts have? Expiring contracts have value in that they allow you to make a trade with another team while not encumbering that team in the future. That’s it. Yes, OKC gets salary relief. If they’re trying to straight salary dump, sure, they owe a pick. But Miami seems bent on getting a big-name PG. Why, I don’t know, maybe Riley has finally lost it. But for whatever reason they seem to want to convert Dragic into a different player, presumably on a long-term deal. And if they use Dragic to achieve that goal, that’s their gain. If it happens to align with OKC’s goal of moving Paul, then that’s fine, but OKC is not sending out firsts to move CP3, not this summer. You pay picks to dump CP3’s salary when you have something better to do with the cap space, or need the luxury tax room. At only less than $3 million over the tax line, OKC has many cheaper methods of getting under that line.