Building on a few ideas that have floated around here, I think this as an off-season would hold us in a really good spot.
Brown trade:
Boston gets: KAT
Portland gets: Brown
Minnesota gets: #3, Simons
Smart trade:
Boston gets: Murphy III, Nance, Dunn, Temple, #28
New Orleans gets: Smart, moderately protected future pick from Boston
Utah gets: Pritchard, Muscala
Draft:
#28: Trayce Jackson-Davis
#35: Keyontae Johnson
Team:
White / Dunn / Davison
Murphy III / Brogdon / Temple
Tatum / Hauser / Johnson
Horford / Gallinari / Nance
Anthony-Towns / Williams 3 / Jackson-Davis
Begarin to stay overseas next season, Davison gets a bit more time with the team ideally.
I think a trade like this depends greatly on whether or not you think Murphy can be a 20 PPG wing scorer. I don't think you have enough offense without that. I do like the other pieces here though.
My question is this - If all it takes to get KAT from the Wolves is Simons and the #3 pick, don't you think we could get a similar value?
Depending on your view of roster construction, I'm not sure Simons is a great fit next to Edwards. I think you want to duplicate his side, strength, and toughness, instead of giving an out. That's where I think Smart would be an excellent fit next to Edwards, and I do think he's a more valuable player than Simons, especially on their respective contracts and with their experience.
If you think KAT could be got for Simons and #3, I think we could get KAT for Smart, Gallo, Pritchard, and a future first.
So you’re saying that the difference between Smart and Simons makes up for the difference between the #3 and Gallo + PP + future first? I strongly disagree. I don’t agree with the premise that Simons is much less valuable than Smart to begin with.
I think Murphy can comfortably be a ~18ppg guy on elite efficiency. Tatum and KAT are both 25+ scorers with great passing, Brogdon and White are both 12-16 scorers too. Gallo, Rob & Al should be 8-10 scorers to round out the scoring. I actually don’t understand how you worry about that teams offence vs our current squad. KAT is a superior offensive talent to Brown, and Murphy’s shooting offsets his worse passing compared to Smart
I think we both value KAT similarly. I think he's a great buy-low candidate. There are stats that suggest he's the greatest big man shooter of all time. I love his fit next to Tatum (and Brown).
But we definitely value Simons differently. I think small guard scorers are pretty gettable in the NBA, and few of them participate in championship rosters. Players like Clarkson, Russell, Dinwiddie, Brogdon, Rozier, Porter Jr., etc. all offer a similar skillset on cheaper contracts than Simons. Even players like Hield, Powell, Sexton, and Gordon are all similar on smaller contracts as well. Simons is also competing with up-and-coming guards like Maxey, Green, Cunningham, Mathurin, and Quickley.
Unless you think Simons can take another leap into that next tier of premier guards (27ppg-ish? with 6 apg), I just don't think he's a good enough talent to get as a centerpiece back. Unless he's that dynamic offensively, he just takes away too much defensively to be the 2nd or 3rd best player on a contender (admittedly, Gobert can erase a lot of those problems in the regular season).
In other words, I think you see him as having the potential to get to that next level. I do not. I see him more as 110% of Jordan Clarkson, but I think they could get Jordan Clarkson for a lot less.
The 3rd pick here is a really nice piece if you like Scoot or Miller. I like both players at this point, but I wonder if Minny fans would feel like this is pushing back the playoffs for another few years. This is a team that has been "rebuilding" for a while, and now finally has some pieces.
That's where I think Minny is more likely to function in the mode of flipping their best assets for proven playoff players, and there have been previous rumors that they were sniffing about Smart. I think some teams value Smart more than we realize, and I do think Smarts value is at least similar to, if not better than, a chucker with no defense like Simons to a team that is trying to be competitive in the playoffs.