55 wins, 1st place.
A lot pivots on Milwaukee. If all goes well here, they take first instead.
But Giannis posted a game last night that implied he is the exact same guy he was last year, with the same flaws. That won't be good enough. If Giannis doesn't sign by end of week, I think the weight of this will become a big problem. Also, if they have an injury or two, they will falter. They just didn't add the shooting they needed.
I also think Miami isn't as good as they looked in the playoffs.
The continuity and experience of Tatum, Brown, Smart and Theis produce better than expected results.