Sure sounds like it. 4 corners to Big 12, Oregon/Wash/Cal/Stanford to Big Ten and poor Wash St & Oregon St on the outside maybe?
It's funny. If you asked me two years ago, I would've said the Big 12 would've been the ones going extinct.
Yes, but they have a whole lot of major media markets. The Pac 12 has some, but they are losing southern California, leaving basically just San Fran, Seattle, and Phoenix. And a lot of the San Fran are people are Bruin or Trojan fans.
The Big Ten has been ahead of the game on media market moves. They've always understood that TV is where they make their money, so every move (even Penn St. in the 90's) was about market share. It is why they never bothered with a school like Missouri even though the fit was there almost every where else and instead went for schools like Rutgers and Maryland.
I have posited before that the top 60 schools are going to break away from the NCAA and form their own league with uniform rules for transfers, nil, etc. Essentially forming two conferences with 3 10 team divisions. The more academic schools in the Big Ten Confernce and the other schools in the South Eastern Conference.
So something like UNC, Duke, ND, GA Tech, BC, Oregon, Wash, Colorado, Clemson, California, Stanford, Pitt, Utah, Virginia joining the 16 existing Big Ten members. Then something lkke these 14 joining the existing SEC - WVU, VA Tech, Arizona, ASU, Okie St, Oregon St., Wash St., Baylor, TCU, TTech, FSU, Miami, Kansas, NC St.
So each would have 3 geographic 10 team divisions. The Big Ten would have their original 10, then an Eastern and a western division. SEC would have something similar. They basically just play games within their conference and then meet for a 16 team playoff where they seed 1 to 8 per conference. I'd mix the conferences in the first round as I think that is way more interesting so 1 seed BT plays 8 seed SEC, etc.