I'm not doubting Milwaukee's ability to put up a solid record with Paul George and co. I think they will make the playoffs. But I don't think they can win a division as competitive as this one. I personally believe it will be either Cleveland or Indiana.
Well the disparity between the regular season record of Milwaukee and Cleveland won't be that much. The only thing that edges Milwaukee will be your team's minute restrictions. As Boston has proved through the past few years, it's tough establishing a fully functioning unit that will perform to its potential in the regular season considering all the practices and game plans are designed with the postseason in mind.
And to be honest, I've tried avoiding this point for a bit now, but I have to come out and say Indiana does not impress me at all, with all due respect to Rondo2287. D-Will and Durant is nice but the rest of the roster is a mess to me. Especially factoring in Deron's tendency to break down towards the end of the season in recent years, I'm not sure how far this team can go when it already has to ride on those two so heavily during the regular season.
To clarify things, this is how I see the division: Milwaukee/Cleveland are going to be the clear-cut 1/2 of this division. Indiana is a definite step below those two teams. Detroit will finish last but is pretty much the unanimous TOTF.