Orlando, best team in the division. Sure to go deep in the playoffs.
But just like Lebron's real team, there looks like there is no one that has proven to be a big time scorer in the clutch part of the playoffs.
How are you preparing the supporting cast for when they run into the deep defensive team late in the playoffs? (SA, Boston and Orlando are the three examples in real life)
Wdleehi -- this issue came up (in various forms) in the draft thread. And Lucky17 and I certainly talked about Lebron's teams' past leading into the draft.
I think this is a case where the conventional wisdom --- that Lebron needs a big time scorer to carry the load --- is actually wrong. We believe that it's not Scoring that Lebron needs help with... it's really everything else. And that this is the mistake Danny Ferry & Mike Brown made last season.
IMO, Lebron is such a dominant offensive force & skilled distributor we decided to put guys around him that were capable, efficient and multi-skilled at the non-scoring aspects of the game. Lebron is also one of those rare players that the cliched holds true, "he makes others around him better" because of his passing and the attention the defense has to pay him.
So we have an efficient PG (Hinrich) who can hit the open shot when doubled off of, a offensively gifted if not dominant SG in Richardson, a big man who can shoot from outside and draw his man out of the paint (Villanueva) and 3 other bigs to crash the boards on both ends (Gasol, Foster, Varejao).
Here are 2 examples that I think support this idea:
1. CLE's 2006-07 Finals run
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This is the model for a team built around Lebron.
CLE: At PG, Eric Snow was steady and unspectacular with 4 ppg, but an a robust 2.9 ast:to ratio. Boobie Gibson came in and added 8 points in the playoffs, double his season average. Combined Snow/Gibson averaged 10pts/3 ast/3 reb/1 3pt in the playoffs
ORL: We have Hinrich who we're confident will meet those averages (he did as a reserve in CHI last year). He has a 2.5 asst:to ratio and is a better defender than either Snow or Gibson. Telfair's contributions then will be gravy.
CLE: At SG, Larry Hughes was the next best offensive talent scoring 15 ppg, but his playoff average dropped to 11 ppg. He added nearly 4 reb/3 asst though.
ORL: Jason Richardson is a better scorer and all-around player than Hughes; Richardson raised his average 3 points in the DAL playoff upset and grabbed 2 more rebounds than he had during that season. Ultimately JRic is the guy that defenses have to be most mindful of.
CLE: At PF, Drew Gooden and Donyell Marshall combined for 15 pts, 10 reb, and the threat of a 3pt with Marshall (0.5 for the playoffs)
ORL: Villanueva will stretch the defenses like Marshall did at times and Foster alone would match Gooden's rebounding. Even if Villanueva only grabs 4-5 boards a game, were stronger at the PF spot.
CLE: At C, Ilgauskas and Varejao brought 18 pts, 16 rebounds night in and night out.
ORL: Gasol is not quite the outsider shooter Big Z was but is a bit more mobile and just as good a rebounder. Varejao is better now than he was then --- our Bigs will be able to rebound better, IMO than, CLE did throughout the playoff run to the Finals
CLE: Pavlovic and Damon Jones --- other bench guys who brouht outisde shooting
ORL: Afflalo & McGuire are not as offensively talented as Pavlovic/Jones, but they bring more defense freeing up JRich and Lebron to carry a bigger offensive load.
2. CLE/BOS epic game 7 (the Pierce/Lebron game)
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In the full playoffs for CLE in 2008, the 2-4 leading scorers were: Big Z (13.1), Delonte (10.
, Wally (10.8 ), Gibson (9.0) --- a respectible distribution that we're confident Hinrich, Richardson, Villanueve, and Gasol can match.
In that awesome Game 7, the thing that terrified me as a Celtics fan wasn't that those 4 guys would get their averages but that Lebron would take over and will the team to victory. And our fears were nearly realized:
Lebron - 45 pts
Delonte - 15 pts
Big Z - 8 pts
Pavlovic - 7 pts
Joe Smith - 6 pts
No one else had more than 5 pts, but the Cavs were 1 loose ball that Pierce got to first from winning.
Summary
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In a game 7, we're going as far as Lebron takes us --- which is far. To get to that game 7, JRich, Hinrich and Villanueva will ease the offensive load and are good enough shooters/scorers that they'll feast on the opportunities created by our primary distributor (Hinrich) and secondary distributor (Lebron).
Our offense is going to be run by Hinrich, but much of it will go through Lebron. Less diversification, not more, is really what CLE's offense lacked in the last year and their defense got worse as Z & Wallace got older. It's the threat of that secondary offense (Richardson, Hinrich, Villanueva) that we have more of than teams Lebron has been on in the past --- and we think this will lead the way to him realizing his full, dominant offensive potential.