The official 2015-2016 Dallas Mavericks season watch thread

[Humble G]

Dallas could be in some trouble with their remaining schedule:
Detroit x2
Golden State x2
Portland x 2
Cleveland
Spurs
Clippers
Indiana
Houston

Then there are these toss ups too:
Charlotte
Memphis
Kings
Jazz
Denver(beat them earlier?)
Kings

Easy wins:
Knicks
T-wolves


Could they miss the playoffs? Would that be best case for our pick? To barely miss playoffs

[Ed Hollison]

Yesterday was a very good one for that Mavs pick.

1) Mavs lost.
2) Bulls, Pacers, and Hornets* all won.

Mavs are now in a 3-way tie with the Blazers and Bulls for the 16-18 range in the draft. They're 1 game worse than the Pacers and 2 games worse than the Hornets right now. Pray for some more Dallas stumbling as it could mean a 4-5 spot difference in that pick. #16 sounds pretty good to me right about now.

*Of course, the Hornets beat the Wolves. It would be nice for the Wolves to win a couple more games here, considering they've got just two more than Brooklyn at the moment.

[GC003332]

Dallas could be in some trouble with their remaining schedule:
Detroit x2
Golden State x2
Portland x 2
Cleveland
Spurs
Clippers
Indiana
Houston

Then there are these toss ups too:
Charlotte
Memphis
Kings
Jazz
Denver(beat them earlier?)
Kings

Easy wins:
Knicks
T-wolves


Could they miss the playoffs? Would that be best case for our pick? To barely miss playoffs

Best case would be for them to finish up in 9th in the West and for the teams fighting for 8th spot in the East to finish with better records than them even if they don't eventually make it , possibly pushing them down to around 12th spot.
If the bottom fell out of their season from here on out there is an outside chance that 38-39 wins could drop them to around 9th or 10th spot.

[trickybilly]

Pick is now 16. 12 is within reach now if the cards fall right.. Houston, Utah, Detroit and Washington are the teams ahead.

Houston keeps their pick if they decide to do a little last minute tank job to get into the lottery, but Dwight and Harden will not be listening to any tank strategies. Go Rocks!

[JBcat]

We need Utah to pick up their play.

[saltlover]

We need Utah to pick up their play.

Yeah, that's the biggest problem.  They have some more tough games coming up, facing the Warriors tonight and then the Cavs next week.  Time doesn't look to be on Utah's side, so I'm not going to hope for anything better than 15th for this pick.  Considering we got Crowder from that trade, the picks are just gravy.

[chilidawg]

15 is a pretty good outcome, and reasonably likely at this point.

[KeepRondo]

Mavs have some tough games coming up.

I'll predict they have to finish 2-3 games under 500 for the year.

[saltlover]

Mavs have some tough games coming up.

I'll predict they have to finish 2-3 games under 500 for the year.

2 under .500 would require a 7-11 finish.  Possible, given their schedule, but that's likely a lower bound.  As a general note on math, unless a game is cancelled, you can never finish an odd number of games away from .500, since there are an even number of games.  So finishing 3 under .500 is borderline impossible.

In order for the Jazz to catch Dallas, the Jazz would need to go 11-8 of the Mavs go 7-11, and win the head-to-head meeting.  Considering Utah has 2 left against the Warriors, and one each against the Spurs, Clippers, and Cavs, they don't have a lot of margin for error in the rest of their games.  Given that they're a below .500 team for the season, it's hard to see this team going 11-3 against teams not in the top 5 of the league.  Not impossible, but as I said earlier, I'm not getting my hopes up.  I think we have a better chance of getting a top 3 pick from Brookyln.

[KeepRondo]

Mavs have some tough games coming up.

I'll predict they have to finish 2-3 games under 500 for the year.

2 under .500 would require a 7-11 finish.  Possible, given their schedule, but that's likely a lower bound.  As a general note on math, unless a game is cancelled, you can never finish an odd number of games away from .500, since there are an even number of games.  So finishing 3 under .500 is borderline impossible.

In order for the Jazz to catch Dallas, the Jazz would need to go 11-8 of the Mavs go 7-11, and win the head-to-head meeting.  Considering Utah has 2 left against the Warriors, and one each against the Spurs, Clippers, and Cavs, they don't have a lot of margin for error in the rest of their games.  Given that they're a below .500 team for the season, it's hard to see this team going 11-3 against teams not in the top 5 of the league.  Not impossible, but as I said earlier, I'm not getting my hopes up.  I think we have a better chance of getting a top 3 pick from Brookyln.

Good point regarding the math and not being able to finish with an odd number. I forgot.

Let's assume that GS beats the Mavs both games. That brings them to 500. Looking at the rest of the schedule, it looks like most are against playoff teams. Makes me guess they will finish below 500.

[KeepRondo]

I also predicted the Nets would win more games then normal in February and then early March so don't kill me on here if I'm wrong. Just a gut feeling.

[chilidawg]

Dallas has been something like 14-18 since, Jan 1, so pretty reasonable to expect a sub .500 record the rest of the way.  538 projects exactly the 7-11 finish mentioned above.  Trust the math.

[Evantime34]

I predict the Mavs will finish as the 8th seed. Utah isn't playing well so even if the Mavs play poorly i don't see see the Jazz passing them.

The 15th pick isn't bad, I think the C's will be able to get a developmental big (Skal, Davis, Rabb, Criss), a draft and stash guy (Luwawu, Korkmaz) or a quality bench shooter (Valentine, Baldwin). In any event I expect a quality player with the Mavs pick.

[Ed Hollison]

Based on the discussion above I think the strongest likelihood is that they end up with the 7th or 8th seed in the west, and we get pick 15 or slightly worse. Stranger things have happened, but it remains remote as far as I can tell.

I personally would be extremely happy with 15.

[i believe in brad]

I'm hoping for 15th pick because they'd be locked into that spot.  Imagine how crushed we would be if they just miss the playoffs and the ping pong balls bounce their way...