Mitchell should be ahead of Tatum as far as RotY goes, but not a hypothetical re-draft.
Tatum was widely considered to have the highest floor of anybody in the draft, but people seriously underestimated his ceiling. I believe his scoring will become elite, his defense and rebounding could be a major plus as well.
Mitchell has been spectacular in a role tailor-made for him. He deserves Rookie of the Year. But Tatum will have the better career, and I’d be surprised if it’s even close by the end of their rookie contracts.
in what way is Mitchell better than Tatum?
If you get the ball in the basket more efficiently, you are much better than volume shooters or bricklayers.
True Shooting Percentage
Jayson Tatum 58.9%
Ben Simmons 55%
Kyle Kuzma 54.6%
Donovan Mitchell 54.2%
Lonzo Ball 44.4%
Volume shooters are volume shooters as they shoot with more volume. Not the volume sound, but the amount of shots they heave.
Shots per 36 minutes:
Donovan Mitchell 18.3
Kyle Kuzma 15.6
Ben Simmons 13.3
Jayson Tatum 12
Lonzo Ball 11.5
A rookie who can defend is swell to have, especially one who was in the NCAA one day and in the NBA a few months later.
Defensive Rating:
Jayson Tatum 104
Ben Simmons 104
Donovan Mitchell 105
Lonzo Ball 105
Kyle Kuzma 109
Wouldn't it be amazing if the best rookie at defense was also the best rookie at offense.
Offensive Rating:
Jayson Tatum 112
Ben Simmons 109
Kyle Kuzma 105
Donovan Mitchell 103
Lonzo Ball 97
A rookie who can play is shown by a rookie who doesn't pass the ball to the other team, as they have poise, and poise counts.
Turnovers per 36 minutes:
Jayson Tatum 1.6
Kyle Kuzma 2.0
Lonzo Ball 2.8
Donovan Mitchell 3.0
Ben Simmons 3.6
Range, a way to show how skilled a player is.
3point percentage:
Jayson Tatum 42.9%
Kyle Kuzma 36.6%
Donovan Mitchell 33.8%
Lonzo Ball 31.5%
Ben Simmons 0.0000%