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Celtics Basketball => Celtics Talk => Topic started by: CF033 on August 09, 2018, 02:38:55 PM

Title: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: CF033 on August 09, 2018, 02:38:55 PM
As we saw in the playoffs Brad Stevens utilized Baynes from behind the three point line quite a bit and Baynes had some success from back there. I was at Philadelphia game 1 and Baynes spent just about all of half time practicing 3 pointers.

Now, I realize we have Kyrie and Hayward coming back so it's less important for him to shoot the 3 but I could see him sneaking into the corners for a 3 point attempt here and there.

So what do you think? Was Baynes' 3 point outburst just limited to the playoffs last year?
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: Boris Badenov on August 09, 2018, 03:07:40 PM
As we saw in the playoffs Brad Stevens utilized Baynes from behind the three point line quite a bit and Baynes had some success from back there. I was at Philadelphia game 1 and Baynes spent just about all of half time practicing 3 pointers.

Now, I realize we have Kyrie and Hayward coming back so it's less important for him to shoot the 3 but I could see him sneaking into the corners for a 3 point attempt here and there.

So what do you think? Was Baynes' 3 point outburst just limited to the playoffs last year?

It's like the hurry-up offense the Pats deploy. Use only in emergencies.

Every team needs its secret weapon!
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: tonydelk on August 09, 2018, 03:11:54 PM
Absolutely.  If Stevens could have a team full of shooters from 1-15 he would absolutely do so.  His offense depends on flow and shooters.  He won't shoot 4 a game but 1 or 2 to pull defenders out of the paint opens up driving opportunities for everyone else.  If anyone the C's have on the floor, including Ojeleye and anyone else can hit open shots it will make the C's O look just like GSW.  You can't leave anyone open or cheat off of your man to help on a drive to the hoop.  It's a nightmare to defend because pick your poison.  Let your guy drain an open 3 or let Kyrie and company drive to the hoop for a layup.  If you have 5 shooters your offense is unstoppable.
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: JHTruth on August 09, 2018, 03:16:53 PM
Sure, but only in bail out, end of the shotclock type of situations. And only from the corner.  8)
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: hpantazo on August 09, 2018, 03:24:50 PM
I fully expect Theiss and Baynes to shoot the three, and of course Horford. A big man who can defend and hit an open three is critical to our system
.
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: JHTruth on August 09, 2018, 03:35:21 PM
I fully expect Theiss and Baynes to shoot the three, and of course Horford. A big man who can defend and hit an open three is critical to our system
.

Baynes went to 3-21 from 3 during the season, or 14.3%. In the playoffs he was a completely unsustainable 47.8%. I think we need a much larger sample size to say Baynes should really be shooting 3's.
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: hpantazo on August 09, 2018, 03:42:34 PM
I fully expect Theiss and Baynes to shoot the three, and of course Horford. A big man who can defend and hit an open three is critical to our system
.

Baynes went to 3-21 from 3 during the season, or 14.3%. In the playoffs he was a completely unsustainable 47.8%. I think we need a much larger sample size to say Baynes should really be shooting 3's.

Regardless of percentages, it is the way our offense runs. Just look at Smart. Even Sullinger was launching them when he was here. It's Stevens system.
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: JHTruth on August 09, 2018, 03:43:51 PM
I fully expect Theiss and Baynes to shoot the three, and of course Horford. A big man who can defend and hit an open three is critical to our system
.

Baynes went to 3-21 from 3 during the season, or 14.3%. In the playoffs he was a completely unsustainable 47.8%. I think we need a much larger sample size to say Baynes should really be shooting 3's.

Regardless of percentages, it is the way our offense runs. Just look at Smart. Even Sullinger was launching them when he was here. It's Stevens system.

Well, maybe the "system" needs tweaks if guys like Smart have a green light on 3s
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: Sophomore on August 09, 2018, 03:53:10 PM
I fully expect Theiss and Baynes to shoot the three, and of course Horford. A big man who can defend and hit an open three is critical to our system
.

Baynes went to 3-21 from 3 during the season, or 14.3%. In the playoffs he was a completely unsustainable 47.8%. I think we need a much larger sample size to say Baynes should really be shooting 3's.

Really hard to say - but a decent number of centers have gone from never shooting the three to shooting them fairly regularly and fairly effectively. You could look at Dedmon or Marc Gasol, for that matter, Al Horford.

*If* Baynes can do that, he adds significantly to his value - he could spend a lot of time spotting up at the corner and force Joel Embiid or other centers to guard him out there. He wouldn't have to take many of them if other teams know he's got a fairly quick release (he did in the playoffs) and if you leave him wide open he might hit, say high thirties to 40%. They'd have to guard him, opening the lanes for the other guys. If Baynes can hit them at a half-decent clip, his offensive efficiency (which is currently dreadful) would also go up.

Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: JHTruth on August 09, 2018, 03:55:03 PM
I fully expect Theiss and Baynes to shoot the three, and of course Horford. A big man who can defend and hit an open three is critical to our system
.

Baynes went to 3-21 from 3 during the season, or 14.3%. In the playoffs he was a completely unsustainable 47.8%. I think we need a much larger sample size to say Baynes should really be shooting 3's.

Really hard to say - but a decent number of centers have gone from never shooting the three to shooting them fairly regularly and fairly effectively. You could look at Dedmon or Marc Gasol, for that matter, Al Horford.

*If* Baynes can do that, he adds significantly to his value - he could spend a lot of time spotting up at the corner and force Joel Embiid or other centers to guard him out there. He wouldn't have to take many of them if other teams know he's got a fairly quick release (he did in the playoffs) and if you leave him wide open he might hit, say high thirties to 40%. If he can hit them at a half-decent clip, his offensive efficiency (which is currently dreadful) would also go up.

No question. It would allow us to be basically not be playing 4 on 5 on O when he's in the game and complement his stingy D.
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: pearljammer10 on August 09, 2018, 05:31:26 PM
If he's open why wouldn't he.
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: moiso on August 09, 2018, 08:43:03 PM
I fully expect Theiss and Baynes to shoot the three, and of course Horford. A big man who can defend and hit an open three is critical to our system
.

Baynes went to 3-21 from 3 during the season, or 14.3%. In the playoffs he was a completely unsustainable 47.8%. I think we need a much larger sample size to say Baynes should really be shooting 3's.
This.  I think Baynes made some lucky ones in the playoffs.  He doesn’t look like a 3 point shooter to me.  If he happens to be wide open, fine.  But it’s not a shot I’d want him taking several times per game. 
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: Somebody on August 10, 2018, 02:37:34 AM
Believe in the all 40% 3 point shooting lineup baby ;D
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: Redz on August 10, 2018, 08:58:17 AM
See the 3
Be the 3
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: Big333223 on August 10, 2018, 10:03:27 AM
He'll shoot more 3's this year than every other year in his career combined.

Which isn't saying much.
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: CF033 on August 10, 2018, 10:35:17 AM
I fully expect Theiss and Baynes to shoot the three, and of course Horford. A big man who can defend and hit an open three is critical to our system
.

Baynes went to 3-21 from 3 during the season, or 14.3%. In the playoffs he was a completely unsustainable 47.8%. I think we need a much larger sample size to say Baynes should really be shooting 3's.

I agree- realistically he's probably somewhere in between. Considering the 3 wasn't really part of his game during the regular season I imagine those 21 shots weren't all quality looks. I have to imagine at least a few were buzzer beater type chucks.
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: CF033 on August 10, 2018, 10:48:39 AM
Believe in the all 40% 3 point shooting lineup baby ;D

I would bet on our starting crew (Kyrie, Hayward, Tatum, Brown and Horford) going to be in the vicinity of 40% (probably a little over) from the three as a unit. They will rival the GSW from behind the arc IMO.
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: GreenEnvy on August 10, 2018, 11:46:54 AM
I fully expect Theiss and Baynes to shoot the three, and of course Horford. A big man who can defend and hit an open three is critical to our system
.

Baynes went to 3-21 from 3 during the season, or 14.3%. In the playoffs he was a completely unsustainable 47.8%. I think we need a much larger sample size to say Baynes should really be shooting 3's.

I agree- realistically he's probably somewhere in between. Considering the 3 wasn't really part of his game during the regular season I imagine those 21 shots weren't all quality looks. I have to imagine at least a few were buzzer beater type chucks.

Pretty safe bet to assume he’s somewhere between a 14% and 48% 3pt shooter.


As long as he mostly takes wide open corner threes, he will be pretty successful. It’s not like he’s looking to take ‘em off the dribble at the top of the key.
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: LatterDayCelticsfan on August 10, 2018, 01:21:03 PM
If he is wide open and feels like trolling the other teams defense he will make it rain from down town
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: Boston Garden Leprechaun on August 12, 2018, 10:50:18 AM
I fully expect Theiss and Baynes to shoot the three, and of course Horford. A big man who can defend and hit an open three is critical to our system
.

correct. theis was working hard on his three game and still is. baynes will follow suit. if they can hit them with any type of consistency compared to Al based on similar attempts we will be very hard to defend this year
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: SHAQATTACK on August 12, 2018, 11:06:27 AM
with one sec remaining in OT

Baynes. for THREE !    ;D
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: CelticD on August 12, 2018, 12:33:33 PM
I mean if Stevens has accepted 4 threes a game from Smart his whole career, then I don’t see why 1 or 2 three point attempts from Baynes would rock the boat.

Hopefully Baynes can have a Horford-esque affinity for 3-point shooting once he gets his reps up. At least being serviceable from the corner would be amazing.
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: Surferdad on August 12, 2018, 01:05:19 PM
I mean if Stevens has accepted 4 threes a game from Smart his whole career, then I don’t see why 1 or 2 three point attempts from Baynes would rock the boat.

Hopefully Baynes can have a Horford-esque affinity for 3-point shooting once he gets his reps up. At least being serviceable from the corner would be amazing.
I agree.  There's always a place for a bailout shot when the offense breaks down and up against the shot clock.  In fact, this is one reason the C's will be so good:  Just about everybody in the rotation can make a shot.  Philly can't claim this (looking at you, Ben Simmons).
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: Beat LA on August 12, 2018, 05:56:10 PM
I sure as hell hope not, lol ;D, as he'd be much better served to hone his post game, imo.
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: Boston Garden Leprechaun on August 12, 2018, 07:50:22 PM
I sure as hell hope not, lol ;D, as he'd be much better served to hone his post game, imo.

that would be a welcome addition as well but beggars cannot be choosers! ;0
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: IDreamCeltics on August 12, 2018, 08:16:26 PM
Ummm… No thanks.  I'm good with him rebounding, boxing people out, setting screens, and playing D.

He's the anti-Olynyk. 
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: Beat LA on August 12, 2018, 09:14:09 PM
I sure as hell hope not, lol ;D, as he'd be much better served to hone his post game, imo.

that would be a welcome addition as well but beggars cannot be choosers! ;0

Can we trade in his man bun ::) for a reliable jump hook? ;D #NoManBunCrew ;D
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: hwangjini_1 on August 12, 2018, 09:35:24 PM
I fully expect Theiss and Baynes to shoot the three, and of course Horford. A big man who can defend and hit an open three is critical to our system
.

correct. theis was working hard on his three game and still is. baynes will follow suit. if they can hit them with any type of consistency compared to Al based on similar attempts we will be very hard to defend this year
theis was known as a good 3 point shooter before he came to the celtics. his career 3 point percentage there was 37.1% and in his final season he shot 41%.
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: SHAQATTACK on August 12, 2018, 10:00:14 PM
he is gonna shoot

anybody can do that


question is will he make any.
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: Chris22 on August 12, 2018, 10:25:41 PM
One year the Knicks shot very well from the three.

That year they would end every practice with a three point shooting contest.

Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: RockinRyA on August 12, 2018, 11:23:11 PM
Ummm… No thanks.  I'm good with him rebounding, boxing people out, setting screens, and playing D.

He's the anti-Olynyk.

Did you not watch the series against the Sixers? We're not asking him to shoot 3 attempts every game. Just having him shoot the corner three at a decent clip once in a while helps our spacing very well, also really good against certain matchups.
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: ImShakHeIsShaq on August 13, 2018, 04:34:39 AM
Ummm… No thanks.  I'm good with him rebounding, boxing people out, setting screens, and playing D.

He's the anti-Olynyk.

Did you not watch the series against the Sixers? We're not asking him to shoot 3 attempts every game. Just having him shoot the corner three at a decent clip once in a while helps our spacing very well, also really good against certain matchups.

Not sure Baynes is getting the recognition he deserves, we don't win that series without his 3s and D. He was the MVP in that series with Tatum a strong 2nd because of what he did when CBS switched him onto TJ and when he took advantage of when we forced TJ to guard Tatum in g5. I guess CBS is in the running too, he made subtle changes that were so crucial.
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: gouki88 on August 13, 2018, 05:29:27 AM
Ummm… No thanks.  I'm good with him rebounding, boxing people out, setting screens, and playing D.

He's the anti-Olynyk.

Did you not watch the series against the Sixers? We're not asking him to shoot 3 attempts every game. Just having him shoot the corner three at a decent clip once in a while helps our spacing very well, also really good against certain matchups.

Not sure Baynes is getting the recognition he deserves, we don't win that series without his 3s and D. He was the MVP in that series with Tatum a strong 2nd because of what he did when CBS switched him onto TJ and when he took advantage of when we forced TJ to guard Tatum in g5. I guess CBS is in the running too, he made subtle changes that were so crucial.
Yeah, Baynes was absolutely awesome in that series. His 8/7 while making more 3's than JT and Al, and shooting more efficiently from three than both those guys, Mook, Smart and Rozier was crucial. Not to mention him averaging an offensive rebound ever 11.8 minutes played
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: The Oracle on August 17, 2018, 08:22:21 AM
Ummm… No thanks.  I'm good with him rebounding, boxing people out, setting screens, and playing D.

He's the anti-Olynyk.

Did you not watch the series against the Sixers? We're not asking him to shoot 3 attempts every game. Just having him shoot the corner three at a decent clip once in a while helps our spacing very well, also really good against certain matchups.

Not sure Baynes is getting the recognition he deserves, we don't win that series without his 3s and D. He was the MVP in that series with Tatum a strong 2nd because of what he did when CBS switched him onto TJ and when he took advantage of when we forced TJ to guard Tatum in g5. I guess CBS is in the running too, he made subtle changes that were so crucial.
Yeah, Baynes was absolutely awesome in that series. His 8/7 while making more 3's than JT and Al, and shooting more efficiently from three than both those guys, Mook, Smart and Rozier was crucial. Not to mention him averaging an offensive rebound ever 11.8 minutes played
In the series against Philly the C's were outscored by 40 points with Baynes on the floor, the C's were +55 points when Baynes was off the floor. 

114 of Baynes 118 minutes in the series was with Embiid on the floor.  The C's were outscored by by a whopping 46 points in those minutes.  The series was won in the minutes Embiid was off the floor and when Horford was guarding him when he was on the floor.
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: hwangjini_1 on August 17, 2018, 08:45:21 AM
Thanks for the numbers. One question for you. Do you also have the stats for how Embiid did when Baynes was NOT on the floor?

Thanks.
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: BitterJim on August 17, 2018, 09:10:12 AM
I expect Bayne to shoot 3s a bit this year, but I don't expect him to beat Amir Johnson's career high in 3PA (66 in 2013-14 and 2016-17)

Honestly, I'd be surprised if he even shoots 50
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: BitterJim on August 17, 2018, 09:20:59 AM
I sure as hell hope not, lol ;D, as he'd be much better served to hone his post game, imo.

Unless he became basically elite in the post, why would we ever go to him in the post rather than doing anything else offensively? Adding a mediocre (or even "pretty good") post game wouldn't really add anything. In what situations do you go with him in the post instead of running our normal offense, or a pick-and-roll/pop, or Kyrie/Tatum/Hayward/Brown iso, etc.?

Spending his off season adding a post game would be a waste of time, while working on shooting would at least help spread the floor
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: gouki88 on August 17, 2018, 09:23:49 AM
I sure as hell hope not, lol ;D, as he'd be much better served to hone his post game, imo.

Unless he became basically elite in the post, why would we ever go to him in the post rather than doing anything else offensively? Adding a mediocre (or even "pretty good") post game wouldn't really add anything. In what situations do you go with him in the post instead of running our normal offense, or a pick-and-roll/pop, or Kyrie/Tatum/Hayward/Brown iso, etc.?

Spending his off season adding a post game would be a waste of time, while working on shooting would at least help spread the floor
Yeah, no point for him working on his post game. He already has that awfully ugly left hook that mysteriously goes in
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: The Oracle on August 17, 2018, 03:25:18 PM
Thanks for the numbers. One question for you. Do you also have the stats for how Embiid did when Baynes was NOT on the floor?

Thanks.
Embiid played 73 minutes when Baynes was not on the floor in the series.  In those minutes the C's outscored Philly by 29 points with an offensive rating of 107.5 and a defensive rating of 92.8.  In the 58 minutes when Embiid was not on the floor the C's were +32 points with an Off. Rat. of 123.9 and a Def. Rat. of 95.8.
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: Big333223 on August 17, 2018, 05:27:39 PM
I sure as hell hope not, lol ;D, as he'd be much better served to hone his post game, imo.

Unless he became basically elite in the post, why would we ever go to him in the post rather than doing anything else offensively? Adding a mediocre (or even "pretty good") post game wouldn't really add anything. In what situations do you go with him in the post instead of running our normal offense, or a pick-and-roll/pop, or Kyrie/Tatum/Hayward/Brown iso, etc.?

Spending his off season adding a post game would be a waste of time, while working on shooting would at least help spread the floor
Yeah, no point for him working on his post game. He already has that awfully ugly left hook that mysteriously goes in

I love that ugly little hook shot!
Title: Re: Is Baynes going to shoot the 3 this year?
Post by: rondofan1255 on August 21, 2018, 03:38:53 PM
Expecting 100+ attempts  :P