I'm going to keep this brief for an op because I need some sleep, but hopefully I'll wake up tomorrow to some good responses.
It was acknowledged by everyone when we first traded for Garnett that the Celtics would have a brief window to win championships while the the Big Three were still in or close to their primes. Now, you may think that when the Big Three age, our core of young players will be ready to step up and keep us competing at a high level. But that aspect of our so-called window aside, when do you think our window with the Big Three will expire? Will Ray be Ray until the end of next year. When will Pierce officially become too slow and have too many knee problems to operate as a number 1 scoring option? KG may be able to last 3 or 4 more years after this one performing at his peak level, no? And when you're done making your prediciton about how long these guys will last, consider the type of role you think they'll potentially play as aging vets on a team anchored by Rondo, Perk, and who knows who else.
If Danny manages this team properly we can extend our run as an eite team for another 10-15 years. Rondo will become the third best point guard in the league in the near future. Within two years, to be sure. Perk is also a very solid center, who, at least for now, comes to us as a bargain. As long as we resign Rajon and Perk, we will have filled the two most imporant positions on the floor-- center and point guard-- with an all star and a borderline all-star center (I'm speaking of their status as players down the road, obviously).
Ray Allen is great-- I think he's the best shooter of all time, and is a complete class act, but he's 33, so he can't have too much longer to operate as an elite player. As much as it pains me to say, I think the smart move is to let Ray come off the books, and fill his slot with some younger talent. That keeps us contending for the next 4-5 years. Then, the moves down the raod will have to be predicated upon how well KG and Pierce hold up. I expect KG to be a great player until he retires-- seriously-- I just don't see him becoming ineffective at any point. He could play until he was 40. Paul could easily remain an elite scorer until he was 36, and then, maybe, move to the bench. But more likely he retires at around 37 or 38 when he is just starting to really lose his mojo, and we keep him in the starting lineup because, well, he's **** Paul Pierce, career Celtic, and winner of (hopefully) multiple championships.
Then when Pierce retires, KG is at the tail end of his career, Rondo and Perk are in their prime, and that younger talent who replaced Ray Allen is firmly into the latter stages of his career, we use the money from Paul coming off the books to try and reload again.
There is no replacement for KG that I can see on the foreseeable horizon, so by the time he retires, I think we can expect some regression, but nonetheless, I think that its perfectly realistic to assume that with proper management by Danny, Wyc and Co., the Celtics can win 45+ games for the next 10-15 years.
Here's to 2018 discussions of the 5 titles that Boston has accrued since 2007-2008.
Doesn't that sound reasonable? Maybe even plausible? It totally does, doesn't it? Wow,I suddenly feel great about our future as a franchise.