« Reply #126 on: January 29, 2022, 10:42:23 PM »
Isn't the answer to this question that Horford - because he's better than Kemba and the particulars of his contract are more amenable - is a more desirable piece in a trade both at the deadline and this summer?
Is it?
The team sucks this year, so that’s not worth the cost of Sengun.
We won’t be below the salary cap, so that’s not worth Sengun.
Next summer, both are expiring contracts. I don’t think the difference in trade value of those two contracts is worth Sengun.
It seems weird to me to use the Celtics record now as a reason for why the deal shouldn't have been done last summer. Unless you're using the current record as evidence that the deal didn't work but I don't think that's what you're doing because there's no reason to think the record would be better with Kemba than with Horford.
It sounds almost like you're saying the team knew that they'd be mediocre this season months ago and taken that into consideration even though the Celtics were expected to be quite a bit better than they have been.
Also, I haven't watched a minute of Sengun but is he really worth this kind of talk?
The buck stops with Brad Stevens. If he gave up a good draft pick for a very, very modest upgrade that had no effect on winning, he should probably be fired.
Kemba had to be bought out by OKC and now NY is trying to get rid of him. Trying to move that guy at $37 mil versus trying to move Horford, who has been excellent on defense this year and will make only $14 mil next year is a big deal. It might be the difference between the Celtics having a chance to bring in someone significant this summer (or at the deadline now) and not having any chance.
Is that worth the #16 pick? I guess you say no. That's fine. But the reason for making the deal seems pretty clear.
Not really.
The team isn’t contending with Horford, or with Kemba. If the trade brings us from the tenth pick to the seventh pick, is that worth sacrificing assets for? Good GMs don’t give up the 16th pick to marginally upgrade. That’s a Pitino move.
Time will tell on trade value, but I’d rather have a $35 million expiring contract plus Sengun than I would Al’s expiring contract ($14.5 million for purposes of a trade).
I'm not sure what time is going to tell you that you don't already know. Kemba the player has no value right now. If he was still in Boston, still on a max deal, he might be the worst contract in the league. Horford is still a serviceable player whose contract declines to something easily moveable next year.
I bet he doesn't bring in someone significant this summer let alone deadline now. Might just get someone like...another Kemba Walker-esque player and settling with mediocrity lol
That's probably a good bet. But if Kemba was here, we wouldn't even be discussing it because making a deal with him (and bringing back something useful) would be next to impossible.
Horford won’t bring back anything unless we attach assets to him. He offers MLE production on a $27 million contract. Similar to Kemba, really, before he was bought out.
It’s comes down to what set of assets is more useful: Horford’s partially guaranteed contract, or Kemba’s larger expiring contract plus Sengun.
Sure, Horford is salary filler. But he's filler someone will accept because he's an ok contract that is then flippable (or maybe I should say dumpable).
Kemba, if still on his max, wouldn't even be that because the price to dump him from last summer (a 1st) has certainly gone up since then so the C's couldn't use Kemba in a deal to get someone else without having to attach even more assets then they don't have.
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