If OK State or Oklahoma win out to become a 1-loss B12 champ, there's a good chance they jump an undefeated Cincy for the 4th spot.
A Cincinnati loss at any time also throws the final 4 into chaos. Suddenly you have a lot of teams looking at their spot.
Congrats Bearcats! CFP finally putting them as the #4 seed in the playoffs. It won't really be chaos though. The winner will play for the Big Ten title and if they win that will be in the playoff. The loser will not. Chaos is Alabama losing to Auburn and then beating Georgia. That will cause all sorts of potential problems.
That Michigan-Ohio State game this weekend will be INSANE. I kind of hope Michigan gets the upset and adds to the chaos (but also I feel at some point Michigan has to do something in this rivalry... right?)
Right that's a good point I completely forgot about that.
I think right now, Georgia feels like the only "guarantee" for the playoffs. Because even if they lose to Alabama I think they'll stay a 3 or 4 seed.
Now if Georgia loses to GTech this weekend then oh boy lol...
Yeah, itís set up for OK State to have a chance to jump, ranked 7 with either a back-to-back against OU, or OU and Baylor.
Given that OU is 10, behind 2-loss Baylor, I donít think they could get the momentum to jump Cincy. The committee is not impressed enough with them. But 12-1 OK St would make things very tough for the committee.
It would but losing to Iowa St. is just bad. That is a bad loss that I have a hard time giving them a pass for. If they had lost to Baylor in a close game and then beaten Baylor in the conference championship, I think that would be easier for them to have Okie St. jump Cincinnati, but losing to Iowa St. is basically an indefensible loss for a playoff contender when there are other viable options (like if UC loses and ND loses, then sure put the other OSU in).
And I still have no idea how good Baylor actually is. I mean they lost to TCU. The same TCU that lost to SMU and Texas and barely beat Cal and Kansas. TCU is a horrid loss and if Baylor can lose to them, I'm not sure how good they actually are when Baylor's non-conference games are Texas St., Texas Southern, and BYU. BYU is an ok team, but they haven't exactly played a difficult schedule and lost to a 4 loss Boise team.
The Big 12 is just bad this year. When Houston, Boise St., BYU, and Nebraska are the best non-conference wins, it is really hard to get a read on the conference, especially when they've struggled in many of those non-conference games and the better teams have struggled within the conference.